2024 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Bleu 2092 59 2) Costaz 2074 20 3) Brawn BGP 001 2063 17 4) ANF 2050 38 5) GTA 2021 51 6) LB 2008 16 = scheivlak 2008 16 8) mark f1 1977 28 9) polesetter1 1958 50 10) Benchulo 1956 24 11) KWSN-DSM 1949 23 12) Anderis 1943 22 13) DutchQuicksilver 1926 28 14) LolaB8060 1924 16 15) sladealonso 1915 22 16) Makarias 1910 22 17) SpaceHorseParty 1882 22 18) M2000-5 1869 22Congratulations to 2024 champion Bleu
for a clear win!Congratulations also to runner-up Costaz
and to third place finisher Brawn BGP 001
!Costaz is a two time champion and Brawny a one time champion. Perhaps this game isn't pure chance?
Some wild swings may happen over a season in this game:
* Bleu was two points ahead of Costaz after Belgium.
* Five races later, after the US GP, Costaz was 145 points ahead of Bleu.
* Bleu comes back over the final five races of the season to win by eighteen points.
All 18 players will score points in the 2024 Supercup.
The entries
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.44 23 mark f1 2020 1717 1455 84.74 17 SpaceHorseParty 2021 2222 1972 88.75 18 M2000-5 2022 2222 1963 88.34 15 Anderis 2023 2222 1932 86.95 14 LolaB0860 2024 2424 2092 86.30 18 Bleu*2020 points in the guesses
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 700,0 18 Cola INF,8 500,0 18 Hülk 573,5 225,0 18 Magn 345,2 70,0 17 Pias 165,0 106,4 18 Norr 162,7 111,9 18 Sain 118,6 81,8 16 Lecl 118,6 94,7 16 Russ 116,8 84,2 16 Gasl 115,2 60,6 10 Hami 96,5 82,7 6 Laws 81,8 8,7 15 Vers 81,1 65,9 1 Tsun 71,8 40,3 5 Ocon 71,0 34,8 3 Pere 57,1 44,5 2 Zhou 52,2 19,0 3 Alon 48,4 29,1 1 Albo 45,3 21,1 2 Stro 43,9 19,0 1 Ricc 12,1 6,5 0Pierre Gasly beats his expectations in the final race of the season! Both McLaren drivers have been 100% surprises two years in a row now.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2024 this is 18.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Norris Sainz Leclerc Hamilton Russell * Potential 338 polesetter1 318 Benchulo 341 polesetter1 247 polesetter1 265 * Forecast 338 Bleu 265 Bleu 331 ANF 243 ANF 244 * Current 338 * Potential 261 * Potential 324 SpaceHorseParty 240 * Potential 224 Costaz 301 * Forecast 261 * Forecast 324 mark f1 230 * Forecast 224 Brawn BGP 001 263 * Current 261 * Current 324 M2000-5 222 * Current 224 ANF 241 GTA 260 GTA 315 Costaz 221 Anderis 213 LB 220 Anderis 231 ANF 292 Bleu 215 Bleu 207 Makarias 211 Benchulo 229 sladealonso 290 sladealonso 215 mark f1 200 LolaB8060 210 scheivlak 228 scheivlak 289 Anderis 213 sladealonso 200 Benchulo 209 sladealonso 225 Brawn BGP 001 283 DutchQuicksilver212 KWSN-DSM 190 GTA 205 mark f1 220 LB 279 Makarias 210 SpaceHorseParty 190 DutchQuicksilver201 LB 218 Anderis 274 GTA 207 Benchulo 183 scheivlak 200 Brawn BGP 001 215 mark f1 270 * Potential 205 DutchQuicksilver183 Bleu 195 LolaB8060 215 Costaz 265 * Forecast 205 LB 182 polesetter1 191 Makarias 212 KWSN-DSM 250 * Current 205 scheivlak 182 mark f1 190 DutchQuicksilver207 DutchQuicksilver246 Benchulo 200 M2000-5 180 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 201 Makarias 246 Brawn BGP 001 200 Makarias 179 M2000-5 188 KWSN-DSM 200 polesetter1 245 KWSN-DSM 200 LolaB8060 172 KWSN-DSM 185 Costaz 191 SpaceHorseParty 243 LolaB8060 188 Brawn BGP 001 167 Anderis 180 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 232 LB 180 GTA 158 sladealonso 160 ANF 135 LolaB8060 225 scheivlak 180 Costaz 156You can see how excellent guesses on the Ferraris contributed greatly to Bleu's championship.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Verstappen Gasly Hülkenberg Alonso Piastri M2000-5 600 mark f1 65 * Potential 36 Benchulo 236 * Potential 265 LolaB8060 590 scheivlak 52 * Forecast 36 Makarias 185 * Forecast 265 SpaceHorseParty 550 KWSN-DSM 50 * Current 36 Anderis 175 * Current 265 Makarias 535 LolaB8060 45 KWSN-DSM 15 Bleu 170 Costaz 248 Anderis 525 ANF 43 Benchulo 13 sladealonso 170 ANF 239 DutchQuicksilver525 LB 42 Brawn BGP 001 11 DutchQuicksilver156 Brawn BGP 001 185 GTA 510 DutchQuicksilver 41 Anderis 10 Brawn BGP 001 153 LB 174 LB 506 * Potential 40 Bleu 10 KWSN-DSM 150 scheivlak 174 sladealonso 502 GTA 40 LB 8 SpaceHorseParty 150 Benchulo 172 mark f1 494 * Forecast 40 scheivlak 8 LB 142 LolaB8060 170 scheivlak 466 * Current 40 sladealonso 6 scheivlak 142 polesetter1 163 ANF 458 Bleu 38 DutchQuicksilver 5 GTA 135 SpaceHorseParty 160 Costaz 454 Brawn BGP 001 33 GTA 5 polesetter1 132 KWSN-DSM 150 KWSN-DSM 450 Benchulo 29 mark f1 5 M2000-5 123 mark f1 150 Brawn BGP 001 449 sladealonso 28 SpaceHorseParty 5 LolaB8060 105 Bleu 148 polesetter1 427 M2000-5 27 Costaz 4 mark f1 100 DutchQuicksilver138 Bleu 415 Anderis 25 ANF 3 ANF 95 M2000-5 138 * Potential 396 Costaz 23 Makarias 3 * Potential 69 Makarias 136 * Forecast 396 Makarias 21 LolaB8060 1 * Forecast 69 GTA 131 * Current 396 polesetter1 15 M2000-5 1 * Current 69 Anderis 115 Benchulo 336 SpaceHorseParty 8 polesetter1 0 Costaz 49 sladealonso 100Being low on Verstappen also helped Bleu, freeing up lots of points elsewhere.
The PTPC forecast after Qatar
Name Forecast +/- Bleu 2095,5 8,9 Costaz 2087,7 -5,1 Brawn BGP 001 2083,0 12,2 ANF 2054,2 13,8 GTA 2026,5 6,3 LB 2023,3 14,5 scheivlak 2023,3 14,5 mark f1 1987,7 6,9 KWSN-DSM 1965,3 16,0 polesetter1 1963,7 -0,8 Benchulo 1959,7 8,5 Anderis 1958,2 -2,4 LolaB8060 1939,5 14,7 DutchQuicksilver 1936,7 6,9 sladealonso 1931,3 -3,0 Makarias 1925,4 -2,1 SpaceHorseParty 1897,2 -1,3 M2000-5 1884,9 -2,4
The best guesses on each driver
X ---> <---Y Vers 396 415 Bleu Norr 338 301 Costaz Lecl 324 331 Bleu Pias 265 248 Costaz Sain 261 260 GTA Russ 224 213 Anderis Hami 205 207 GTA Pere 137 102 ANF Alon 69 49 Costaz Gasl 40 40 GTA Hülk 36 15 KWSN-DSM Tsun 29 30 SpaceHorseParty; 28 DutchQuicksilver Stro 24 24 ANF Ocon 23 25 sladealonso Magn 14 19 KWSN-DSM Albo 12 12 Costaz Ricc 7 12 Anderis Bear 7 0 Everyone Cola 5 0 Everyone Zhou 4 4 Bleu, LB, scheivlak Laws 4 5 KWSN-DSM Bott 0 3 ANF Sarg 0 1 ANF, LolaB8060, M2000-5, polesetter1Some player names pop up a lot here this year!
Note, as usual, that FL and quali race points don't count in this game.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Result RBR 728 -195 Ferr 493 + 98 Merc 404 + 25 McLa 369 +234 Asto 198 -105 RB 98 - 58 Alpi 67 - 4 Will 30 - 13 Saub 22 - 18 Haas 10 + 41While the top four became more exciting internally this year, the gap to the rest of the grid sadly got more accentuated.
The Williams WCC prediction was previously incorrectly stated as 31, which was wrong. Apologies.
The predictions add up to five points fewer than the final result as I didn't assign Lawson's predicted points to any team.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Albo 18 0 0 Sarg Correct Alon 18 0 0 Stro Correct Norr 18 0 0 Pias Correct Vers 18 0 0 Pere Correct Lecl 17 0 1 Sain Correct Bott 16 1 1 Zhou Wrong Ricc 13 2 3 Tsun Wrong Hami 13 1 4 Russ Wrong Hülk 12 4 2 Magn Correct Gasl 10 4 4 Ocon CorrectThree wrong is more than most years.
I hope that this was fun for everyone and that nobody got injured. Continue to be careful over the offseason and use a seat belt, also in cars, and we'll see each other again next season! Greetings!
thank you for another hosting Makarias!
, always great fun to see how far off our predictions are (or not!). I had some good guesses there, but some so terrible ones (I mean: Perez at 300? What was I thinking 
). I will take consolation from getting McLaren (sort of) right 
. See you next year!
