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Guess the Pole 2025: China


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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  • 13,111 posts
  • Joined: December 98

Posted Today, 06:25

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2025 standings

Five latest poles at China:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2024  Verstappen    93.660
2019  Bottas        91.547
2018  Vettel        91.095
2017  Hamilton      91.678
2016  Rosberg       95.402

Late 2024 front rows:
GP   Pole  #2  
BRA  Norr Russ
LVE  Russ Sain
QAT  Vers Russ
ABU  Norr Pias

Driver values:
Dri  val
Norr   6
Russ   6
Pias   9
Sain  13
Vers  13
REST  18

2025 data:
                  Time    2024 PP  2023 PP  2022 PP  2025/2024  2025/2023  2025/2022
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
OZ   Norr  Pias   75.096   75.915   76.732   77.868    98.921     97.868     96.440
CHN                    0   93.660   ------   ------               ------     ------
JPN                    0   88.197   88.877   89.304                                
BAH                    0   89.179   89.708   90.558                                
SAU                    0   87.472   88.265   88.200                                
MIA                    0   87.241   86.841   88.796                                
EMI                    0   74.746   ------   87.999               ------           
MON                    0   70.270   71.365   71.376                                
ESP                    0   71.383   72.272   78.750                                
CAN                    0   72.000   85.858   81.399                                
AUT                    0   64.314   64.391   64.984                                
GB                     0   85.819   86.720  100.983                                
BEL                    0  113.754  106.988  104.297                                
HUN                    0   75.227   76.609   77.377                                
NED                    0   69.673   70.567   70.342                                
ITA                    0   79.327   80.294   80.161                                
AZE                    0  101.365  100.203  101.359                                
SIN                    0   89.525   90.984  109.412                                
USA                    0   92.330   94.723   94.356                                
MEX                    0   75.946   77.166   77.775                                
BRA                    0   83.405   70.727   71.674                                
LVE                    0   92.312   92.726   ------                          ------
QAT                    0   80.520   83.778   ------                          ------
ABU                    0   82.595   83.445   83.824                                
My guess for China is 92.865 s by Oscar Piastri.