The standings after Saudi Arabia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 505 101 = Benchulo 505 101 = mark f1 505 101 4) KWSN-DSM 503 101 = scheivlak 503 100 = SpaceHorseParty 503 101 7) DutchQuicksilver 502 101 8) GTA 500 101 9) LolaB8060 499 101 10) Brawn BGP 001 497 100 = M2000-5 497 101 12) Bleu 495 101 = Costaz 495 101 = Makarias 495 100 15) noikeee 488 101Three stooges missed one point each from Hadjar.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk 113,9 40,0 10 Ocon 85,4 45,2 6 Albo 56,2 26,0 0 Hadj 52,1 22,7 3 Stro 51,4 26,3 4 Bear 42,9 21,4 2 Pias 30,7 24,5 0 Russ 28,8 22,7 0 Vers 26,6 20,8 0 Norr 22,8 18,0 0 Anto 21,8 15,9 0 Lecl 13,9 11,1 0 Hami 9,2 7,3 0 Sain 9,0 5,6 0 Gasl 8,6 3,8 0 Tsun 7,3 3,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Piastri Verstappen Leclerc Norris Russell * Potential 567 * Potential 556 * Potential 518 * Potential 563 * Potential 543 * Forecast 442 * Forecast 389 Costaz 385 Brawn BGP 001 488 * Forecast 326 Brawn BGP 001 374 GTA 388 Bleu 360 M2000-5 468 noikeee 299 Bleu 340 scheivlak 358 Makarias 349 Anderis 445 Makarias 292 Makarias 322 LolaB8060 350 GTA 346 * Forecast 422 scheivlak 270 SpaceHorseParty 315 KWSN-DSM 343 Benchulo 341 mark f1 405 DutchQuicksilver257 noikeee 310 Bleu 341 Anderis 300 Costaz 389 Bleu 240 M2000-5 302 mark f1 340 LolaB8060 300 GTA 380 Costaz 237 DutchQuicksilver301 DutchQuicksilver323 mark f1 290 noikeee 366 Anderis 233 GTA 300 Benchulo 310 scheivlak 290 Makarias 365 KWSN-DSM 224 mark f1 300 noikeee 293 SpaceHorseParty 290 scheivlak 365 Brawn BGP 001 220 Benchulo 298 Anderis 290 M2000-5 285 SpaceHorseParty 365 LolaB8060 220 scheivlak 288 Makarias 272 Brawn BGP 001 283 DutchQuicksilver358 mark f1 220 Costaz 287 Brawn BGP 001 253 KWSN-DSM 275 Benchulo 356 SpaceHorseParty 215 Anderis 270 Costaz 252 DutchQuicksilver274 Bleu 355 Benchulo 208 KWSN-DSM 255 M2000-5 233 noikeee 272 KWSN-DSM 342 M2000-5 201 LolaB8060 240 SpaceHorseParty 225 * Forecast 206 LolaB8060 340 GTA 200 * Current 92 * Current 81 * Current 43 * Current 88 * Current 68Leclerc's forecast is recovering decently after a slow start to the season.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Antonelli Hamilton Sainz Albon Hadjar * Potential 511 * Potential 498 * Potential 480 * Potential 495 * Potential 480 noikeee 225 Makarias 316 M2000-5 88 * Forecast 96 * Forecast 24 DutchQuicksilver205 Benchulo 281 scheivlak 72 M2000-5 76 GTA 21 LolaB8060 190 KWSN-DSM 274 SpaceHorseParty 70 SpaceHorseParty 70 Bleu 20 SpaceHorseParty 190 M2000-5 266 noikeee 66 noikeee 51 Costaz 18 Brawn BGP 001 183 SpaceHorseParty 255 LolaB8060 65 Brawn BGP 001 37 Anderis 10 Anderis 180 DutchQuicksilver253 Bleu 55 Costaz 35 Benchulo 10 * Forecast 173 LolaB8060 250 GTA 55 DutchQuicksilver 31 KWSN-DSM 10 KWSN-DSM 171 mark f1 250 KWSN-DSM 50 LolaB8060 30 DutchQuicksilver 9 Costaz 162 noikeee 250 Makarias 47 mark f1 30 noikeee 9 mark f1 150 Costaz 249 Anderis 45 scheivlak 30 SpaceHorseParty 8 M2000-5 145 scheivlak 240 Benchulo 45 GTA 29 M2000-5 7 Bleu 142 Anderis 233 mark f1 45 KWSN-DSM 25 mark f1 6 Makarias 142 Brawn BGP 001 221 Brawn BGP 001 43 Makarias 25 LolaB8060 5 scheivlak 139 Bleu 219 DutchQuicksilver 43 Bleu 23 * Current 5 Benchulo 130 GTA 210 Costaz 42 Benchulo 22 Brawn BGP 001 4 GTA 121 * Forecast 110 * Forecast 24 Anderis 20 Makarias 4 * Current 36 * Current 23 * Current 5 * Current 20 scheivlak 3Albon is about to beat a bunch of players soon. The top Albon guessers will feel good about this for quite a while.
The PTPC forecast
HABEMUS FORECAST
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1911,2 55,2 Brawn BGP 001 1905,4 28,4 noikeee 1899,0 60,0 mark f1 1896,2 55,2 DutchQuicksilver 1889,0 60,0 Bleu 1881,2 55,2 GTA 1870,2 65,2 Anderis 1868,4 37,4 Makarias 1845,2 55,2 SpaceHorseParty 1814,0 60,0 Costaz 1813,2 55,2 KWSN-DSM 1808,2 58,2 M2000-5 1804,6 21,6 Benchulo 1801,2 55,2 LolaB8060 1787,0 60,0Well, isn't that ominous. At least I'm not projected to be bottom three again.
