The standings after Miami:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) mark f1 606 101 2) scheivlak 604 101 = SpaceHorseParty 604 101 4) DutchQuicksilver 603 101 5) GTA 600 100 = LolaB8060 600 101 7) KWSN-DSM 599 96 8) Benchulo 598 93 = Brawn BGP 001 598 101 = M2000-5 598 101 11) Anderis 596 91 = Costaz 596 101 13) Makarias 591 96 14) Bleu 589 94 = noikeee 589 101Only mark f1 has a perfect score now! Anderis and Benchulo plummeted down the order from the top very quickly.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Hülk 113,9 40,0 10 Ocon 85,4 45,2 6 Albo 84,3 39,0 6 Hadj 52,1 22,7 3 Stro 51,4 26,3 4 Bear 42,9 21,4 2 Pias 39,0 31,2 0 Russ 35,2 27,7 0 Vers 30,5 23,9 0 Norr 27,5 21,7 0 Anto 26,7 19,5 0 Lecl 15,8 12,7 0 Sain 12,6 7,9 0 Tsun 11,0 4,5 0 Hami 10,8 8,5 0 Gasl 8,6 3,8 0Alex Albon was the guy who cost people points.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Piastri Norris Russell Verstappen Albon * Potential 567 * Potential 556 * Potential 533 * Potential 543 * Potential 480 * Forecast 468 Brawn BGP 001 488 * Forecast 332 GTA 388 * Forecast 120 Brawn BGP 001 374 M2000-5 468 noikeee 299 * Forecast 372 M2000-5 76 Bleu 340 Anderis 445 Makarias 292 scheivlak 358 SpaceHorseParty 70 Makarias 322 * Forecast 424 scheivlak 270 LolaB8060 350 noikeee 51 SpaceHorseParty 315 mark f1 405 DutchQuicksilver257 KWSN-DSM 343 Brawn BGP 001 37 noikeee 310 Costaz 389 Bleu 240 Bleu 341 Costaz 35 M2000-5 302 GTA 380 Costaz 237 mark f1 340 DutchQuicksilver 31 DutchQuicksilver301 noikeee 366 Anderis 233 DutchQuicksilver323 LolaB8060 30 GTA 300 Makarias 365 KWSN-DSM 224 Benchulo 310 mark f1 30 mark f1 300 scheivlak 365 Brawn BGP 001 220 noikeee 293 scheivlak 30 Benchulo 298 SpaceHorseParty 365 LolaB8060 220 Anderis 290 * Current 30 scheivlak 288 DutchQuicksilver358 mark f1 220 Makarias 272 GTA 29 Costaz 287 Benchulo 356 SpaceHorseParty 215 Brawn BGP 001 253 KWSN-DSM 25 Anderis 270 Bleu 355 Benchulo 208 Costaz 252 Makarias 25 KWSN-DSM 255 KWSN-DSM 342 M2000-5 201 M2000-5 233 Bleu 23 LolaB8060 240 LolaB8060 340 GTA 200 SpaceHorseParty 225 Benchulo 22 * Current 117 * Current 106 * Current 83 * Current 93 Anderis 20If Albon has a say, mark f1's perfect score will be a thing of the past in a couple of weeks.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Antonelli Leclerc Hamilton Sainz Tsunoda * Potential 494 * Potential 499 * Potential 477 * Potential 457 * Potential 453 noikeee 225 Costaz 385 Makarias 316 M2000-5 88 SpaceHorseParty 65 DutchQuicksilver205 Bleu 360 Benchulo 281 scheivlak 72 Costaz 41 LolaB8060 190 Makarias 349 KWSN-DSM 274 SpaceHorseParty 70 M2000-5 35 SpaceHorseParty 190 GTA 346 M2000-5 266 noikeee 66 GTA 32 Brawn BGP 001 183 Benchulo 341 SpaceHorseParty 255 LolaB8060 65 LolaB8060 32 Anderis 180 Anderis 300 DutchQuicksilver253 Bleu 55 Bleu 30 * Forecast 176 LolaB8060 300 LolaB8060 250 GTA 55 noikeee 26 KWSN-DSM 171 mark f1 290 mark f1 250 KWSN-DSM 50 Anderis 25 Costaz 162 scheivlak 290 noikeee 250 Makarias 47 mark f1 25 mark f1 150 SpaceHorseParty 290 Costaz 249 Anderis 45 scheivlak 24 M2000-5 145 M2000-5 285 scheivlak 240 Benchulo 45 Benchulo 20 Bleu 142 Brawn BGP 001 283 Anderis 233 mark f1 45 DutchQuicksilver 18 Makarias 142 KWSN-DSM 275 Brawn BGP 001 221 Brawn BGP 001 43 KWSN-DSM 15 scheivlak 139 DutchQuicksilver274 Bleu 219 DutchQuicksilver 43 Makarias 12 Benchulo 130 noikeee 272 GTA 210 Costaz 42 * Forecast 12 GTA 121 * Forecast 196 * Forecast 108 * Forecast 28 Brawn BGP 001 10 * Current 44 * Current 49 * Current 27 * Current 7 * Current 3Tsunoda's team change doesn't look like a jackpot win for his supporters quite yet...
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- scheivlak 1900,0 -11,2 Brawn BGP 001 1897,0 -8,4 noikeee 1891,0 -8,0 mark f1 1885,0 -11,2 DutchQuicksilver 1881,0 -8,0 Bleu 1870,0 -11,2 Anderis 1862,0 -6,4 GTA 1839,0 -31,2 Makarias 1834,0 -11,2 SpaceHorseParty 1806,0 -8,0 Costaz 1802,0 -11,2 KWSN-DSM 1797,0 -11,2 M2000-5 1795,0 -9,6 Benchulo 1790,0 -11,2 LolaB8060 1779,0 -8,0Only major change is GTA losing ground due to Verstappen's dropped forecast.
