Just a thought that came to my mind... but do you think McLaren could 'forfeit' the WDC to Verstappen? Does it matter enough to them?
What I mean with that is the following:
- Last year, McLaren already clearly stated and showed that the WCC is what matters to them as a team. The WDC is, you could say, considered more a bonus to them and nice for the driver.
- Currently, McLaren is the only team that has both a performing car and 2 performing drivers. Bringing home loads of WCC points but who therefore are and will continue to be taking WDC points off of each other.
- Red Bull has started to make a bit of a resurgence it seems, sorting their car out, especially with Max. Max therefore is becoming more and more a WDC contender.
- Red Bull will - for now - definately keep a decent (development) effort in in a bid to secure that 5th WDC in a row for and with Max. But a proper WCC challenge from them is unlikely as they have an enormous points gap to overcome and Tsunoda most likely won't be up there at the sharp end every weekend soon.
- Ferrari doesn't have the peformance in the car atm, and even if they start to sort it out, a proper WCC challenge from them is unlikely. Since it's unlikely they will overtake the McLaren peformance wise and they have an enormous points gap to overcome (and Hamilton might have some difficult weekends still). Also, because of this, it doesn't make sense for them to put too much development into this year's car and compromise 2026.
- Mercedes doesn't have the peformance in the car atm, and even if they start to sort it out, a proper WCC challenge from them is unlikely. Since it's unlikely they will overtake the McLaren peformance wise, they have an enormous points gap to overcome and Antonelli probably will have some difficult weekends still. Also, because of this, it doesn't make sense for them to put too much development into this year's car and compromise 2026.
With this in mind and the 2026 rule change, I can see McLaren deciding to not risk compromising 2026 in the slightest way by putting 'unnecessary' development work into this car. Since even if the Red Bull becomes consistently strong enough for Max to mix it with Lando and Piastri every weekend, they don't need to for the WCC - their car is and will remain strong enough to fight at the front and keep bringing home the WCC points with both drivers - and I can see them not wanting to just in a bid to keep Norris and Piastri ahead of the Red Bull of Max to secure the WDC with one of them.
It might even make their life easier if Norris and Pistri slowly start to fade in the WDC fight against Verstappen in terms of internal decisions, relationships, team spirit etc.