Adelaide 1994 Judgement, by Billy and baddogIntroductionThe collision between Michael Schumacher and Damon Hill at Adelaide is remembered today as the event that decided the 1994 World Championship. At the press conference after the race, Michael was right to put this collision in it's proper context. By recalling the nightmare of Imola, he made us realise that the collision at Adelaide was not the most significant accident of 1994:
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All of us know what feelings we have had to make about this, in particular for Ayrton, but as well for Roland, and as well for Karl (what happened in Monte Carlo). For me it always clear that I was not going to win the Championship, and it was Ayrton who was going to win the Championship, but he hasn't been there for the last races, and I'd like to take this Championship and give it to him.
The races following Imola in the 1994 Championship were still fought out under the shadow of Senna; they were diminished by his absence. It was not until 1995 and 1996 that Damon and Michael were truly free to create their own era in modern Grand Prix history. To win the 1994 Championship without Senna was seen by Schumacher as a hollow victory, and this victory was diminished even further in the eyes of the public by the fact that the Championship was decided by a collision in the final race.
It is the duty of this court to decide whether either Michael Schumacher or Damon Hill is to blame for this collision or that it should be put down as what is generally described as a racing incident, i.e. neither of the drivers can be solely blamed for the collision.
VerdictAt Adelaide 1994 Michael Schumacher made a reckless defensive manouevre, shutting the door without regard for the fact that Damon Hill couldn't slow enough to avoid a collision. This was a racing incident, with neither driver fully to blame. There was no
credible evidence presented to support the claim that Schumacher deliberately collided with Hill, and there was no evidence whatsoever that Hill deliberately collided with Schumacher.
Due to the lack of evidence concerning the guilt of Hill, argument in the court was polarised into prosecution against Michael Schumacher, to support a guilty verdict against him, and defence of Michael Schumacher, to support the view that this was a racing incident. Henceforth in this judgement we refer to the prosecution and defence according to these definitions.
The role of Supporting Circumstantial Evidence in this CaseSupporting circumstantial evidence has been presented to the court to attest to each driver's character, by reference to similar incidents in each driver's career. Jerez 1997 is the most striking of these. Michael Schumacher has admitted he deliberately collided with Jacques Villeneuve at Jerez 1997 to prevent him from passing in that race. The prosecution sees this as evidence that Michael's character is such to make it likely that the collision in Adelaide 1994 was just another deliberate act by him. However it must be considered that the reverse may be true, in that the events of Adelaide may have made Schumacher feel more confident and bold about potentially over-aggressive defence of a corner. It is quite possible that Adelaide 1994 was not deliberate, but its outcome in favour of Michael encouraged the deliberate act later in Jerez 1997. On the opposite side of this coin we have Damon Hill's later record of failed attempts to pass Michael Schumacher, especially in races the following year. These could realistically be characterised as desperate and ill-judged, in the same way that the defence claims the Adelaide passing attempt to be. While this could be used to conclude that Damon was given to allowing his enthusiasm and desire to overcome his ability, we have sufficient video evidence to analyse the adelaide incident on its merits, which do not demonstrate the sort of closing speed and impact violence of these later incidents. This supporting circumstantial evidence suggests that characteristically Michael had a tendency for aggressive defensive manouevres, and characteristically Damon had a tendency for over-ambitious passing manoeuvres, which is a completely incompatible set of character traits in close racing situations.
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Analysis of Prosecution Submissions- Schumacher had damaged car, and therefore had no right to further participation in the motor race.
There was damage to the Benetton, but no visible damage (the rear-wheel-at-an-angle theory was not adequately demonstrated). We cannot say how serious the damage was. The damage might have been slight, and in that case he was still a valid participant in the Grand Prix. From the video evidence it is plain to see Schumacher sawing at the wheel. Once you have gone off the track and hit your front wheel on a wall, a driver will check the steering is OK by sawing the wheel from right to left. Schumacher did this, but subsequently repeated these motions even while turning into the corner where the collision occurred. It is likely that the car was damaged and he was learning how to control it, while still racing for the lead of the motor race.
- Upon leaving the track, Schumacher had a major accident with the concrete wall
The video shows a glance of the wall with the right front wheel. The reason for his off-track excursions was that Schumacher lost the back of the car on a bump in the middle of a left-hand-corner, had to steer to the right to correct the oversteer slide of the rear wheels, and hence couldn't take the left-hand turn on the tarmac, and he went off onto the grass, towards one of the concrete walls that surround the entire Adelaide street course. Schumacher took most of the corner on the grass, and finally hit his front-right wheel on the wall with the car almost parallel to it, so the force of the hit went almost directly along the axis of the axle, a much better scenario for the Benetton than if the angle of collision had been greater.
- Michael is allegedly looking in right mirror before the collision with Hill occurred
Drivers always look inwards towards the apex of a corner. Michael could not have seen his outside mirror, but clearly he could have seen his inside mirror. While focussing on the apex, he still would have been aware of what was happening in the mirror. F1 drivers are capable of looking backwards and forwards at the same time, conciously focussing on forward events, but still aware of the position of cars behind.
- Contention that only full speed cars should be on racing line
Only lapped or terminally-damaged cars can realistically be expected to assist a pass in this way..
- Michael's alleged deliberate attempt to take Damon out on the straight
Upon rejoining the track, Michael returned to the racing line, and then defended that line, despite the fact his car was not at racing speed. Damon had to brake to avoid a collision, then was forced to change his line to the inside. After coasting over the grass, Michael bounced over the kerb back onto the track and only then had the opportunity to turn the car to the right to get the car pointing in the right direction. He had a choice: either to immediately turn very hard to get the car pointing in the right direction - which would have diminished his forward momentum and left the racing line open to Damon Hill - or to simply continue in his direction of travel until he was in a position to take the racing line, and then make his right-hand turn. He took the latter option, but this was not an attempt to collide with Hill.
- Damon was far enough alongside Schumacher to claim corner, allegedly with the tip of his car level with front wheels of Schumacher
The point when Damon was this far alongside Schumacher was very late in the incident. Damon was almost a car length behind at the point when Schumacher started to turn in. However the reduced speeds meant that Damon had more time than normal to make his passing move.
- Schumacher must have seen Damon as he was alongside
This is a strong supposition. It's likely that Schumacher saw Hill but it's unlikely that Schumacher could judge, or even cared to judge, the closing speed of Damon.
- Schumacher's turn-in was not normal but a sudden swerve to hit Hill
MS turned in slightly earlier than usual, but the amount of early turn-in was not a significant factor in the collision. Adelaide is a street circuit, characterised by 90 degree corners. These are not smooth curves, but harsh turns, where the car changes direction very hard indeed. The ideal racing line tries to make the 90 degree corner into the largest possible curve, with a wide entry and exit, but the fact remains it is 90-degrees, and once you turn in, you throw the car through 90 degrees in a very short distance.
If a driver wants to overtake on the inside of one of these turns, he is delaying his apex a very large amount. In this case, if Damon had progressed along the line he was taking, he still had a significant amount of turning to do after the classical apex to the corner, and therefore Michael would have had to slow very significantly and steer very wide to avoid Damon. It's fairly rare to see two cars go side-by-side through a 90 degree corner.
- MS blocked twice in the runup to the corner
this is a flawed argument because turning into the corner is not blocking. The "no two moves" rule does not include turning into the corner defensively.
- Damon attempted to avoid the accident, whereas Michael did not
Damon attempted to avoid the accident only once it was too late. Michael Schumacher turned into the corner in a fashion which did not take into account there was car behind him.
Analysis of Defence Submissions- Damon's overtaking move was ill-judged and impetuous
Given what Hill knew, it was a bold move, but no more than that. However, it did require cooperation from Schumacher to succeed.
- MS may not have known how badly his car was damaged and thus was entitled to defend his position.
It is unreasonable to expect Schumacher to let Damon through while he checked the behaviour of his car. If Damon had been closely following Schumacher, he would have passed immediately when Michael left the track, and in that case MS wouldn't even have had the chance to defend his position.
- Michael focused on his badly damaged car and getting things back together, not on Hill
As a top racing driver Michael should be capable of doing all these things simultaneously, and his actions when rejoining the track showed that his first priority was to keep the lead of the motor race. Once he joined that battle with Hill by taking the racing line, he was in a battle for position and should have been aware of the position of the following car.
- Hill's overlap was not until it was far too late, i.e. he lunged up the inside, not like having an overlap in the braking zone
There wasn't a clear pass, where Schumacher would have been prevented from turning in by the fact that Hill's car was level with the Benetton, but it was a valid attempt to pass because this situation was not a normal braking zone due the reduced speeds of the cars.
- Michael was not looking in his mirror ... turning his head to the right implies nothing as the mirrors can be seen with head straight.
We cannot know this for sure, but a likely supposition was that Michael was aware of what was in his mirror, but he was not focussing on it.
- The moment Michael becomes aware of Hill is clear from his sudden head movement just before impact
While at that moment it is clear he does see him, this does not prove he wasn't aware previous to that.
Judge's Comments A central plank of the prosecution case is that Damon Hill was substantially faster arriving at the corner than Michael, so Michael shouldn't have turned in across him. Yet there is actually no reason to think their speed into the corner was significantly different. Damon arrived faster at the apex of the corner, but he came from a long way back. By the turn-in point on the racing line, the speed they were travelling at was a braking-point decision made by the drivers not an issue of relative car speed. It is true that both the cars arrived at the corner at a slower speed than normal. The prosecution argues that Damon was blocked by Michael in the run up to the corner, hence at this point his speed was restricted to the slower speed of the Benetton. There is nothing in the evidence to suggest the braking or accelerative performance of the Benetton was in any way hampered. Therefore they must both have arrived in the corner at approximately the same speed.
The fact that Michael Schumacher's car was damaged must in the analysis of their relative behaviour in the corner be discarded as irrelevant. Damon did not know that Michael had hit the wall, and Michael's task would be to do the best with the car as it stood while he assessed the damage. There is no evidence presented which compellingly shows that prior to their collision the Benetton was unfit to drive at racing speed. The most plausible evidence presented was the supposition that the impact with the wall might have damaged the front right suspension in a way that made the car pull to the right, and hence we saw Michael continually making steering corrections back to the left.
Much has been made by the prosecution of the idea that Damon attempted to avoid the accident, but Michael did not. If we look at the incident from the time when we know Michael was aware of Damon's position and passing attempt then we have to examine what could have been done at this point to avoid the accident. Damon could have braked. He did this, but given he was taking the tightest possible line at the apex already, and that he was fractions of a second away from impacting the car ahead, braking was probably futile. Michael could not have braked as this would have precipitated an even more certain accident. This is because Hill was not ahead: it was not as if Michael could brake and let Damon run wide, where Michael could have re-taken him on exit by taking a tighter line. Michael could have turned left, but this would have conceded the corner to Hill. To give "racing room", Michael would have had to let Damon control when the apex of the corner was to be taken, which due to his parallel run along the inside, would have been well past the geometric apex of the corner. To avoid an accident Michael would have had to turn left, brake and wait for Damon to take the corner, with Michael taking the corner on a much wider line. This is an unreasonable expectation for a competitive racing driver. From the point Hill chose to brake less or later and go up the inside the accident was effectively inevitable.
The is a precedent in the Prost-Senna 1989 case to consider where the steering actions of Prost after he knew that collision was inevitable were interpreted by the court as damning evidence against Prost. At Adelaide 1994, Michael was steering towards the apex in a series of swerves of diminishing radius, and just before impact he was in the process of straightening the steering wheel away from the apex. Once hit by Damon, he was pushed forward into an understeering slide, so his natural reaction was to regain control by countering the force which was unnaturally pushing his car away from the apex by turning the wheel hard into the apex of the corner, and as he is launched into the air, you can see his left hand on top of the steering wheel, almost turned as far as the 1pm position. This case differs from Prost-Senna 1989, in that once hit by Damon, Schumacher had no option but to turn even further into the apex in an attempt to regain control of the car and drive through the corner. Schumacher would have seen the wheel of the Williams locked in a braking slide, and hence it was unlikely that Damon would then accelerate so they both could continue side-by-side with interlocked wheels. Schumacher had to try to get his rear wheel around the front wheel of the Williams, and an oversteer attempt was his only option.
Many submissions dealt with the issue of how much and when Michael saw Damon in his mirrors. However almost all of this is just speculation on both sides of the argument and must be put aside as such. Nothing in the videos shown proves conclusively that Michael did or did not see Damon at any given moment prior to his sudden head movement a fraction of a second before impact. This sudden head movement of Schumacher was his surprised response to the fact that he and Damon were about to collide. It's likely Schumacher was aware of Damon's presence on the inside line, but it's not likely that he knew it was inevitable that they would collide.
In the end it clearly cannot be proven that Michael Schumacher knew Damon Hill was attempting an overtaking move in time for him to defend it in a fashion that would not cause an accident. Damon was not granted passing room, as Michael was in a car that may or may not have been sufficiently damaged to complete the race in the lead, so there was no obligation for Michael to simply let Damon by, but there was an obligation to handle the situation in a fashion other than just acting as if Hill was not there. It is not for this court to decide what Michael should have done, there being a number of possible reactions available to a late inside-passing attempt like this, but to decide if what he did do was appropriate. Schumacher was aware of Damon, and he was closing the door on any possible overtaking attempt. Whether he was making the assumption that Damon could slow down enough, or whether he was even sure Damon was going to go for it, let alone go so deep that he couldn't stop, is not the issue.
The initial impact between the cars was relatively slight. The incident only became serious - the video very clearly shows when the damage to Hill's car occurred - because of the wheel-to-wheel touching that threw the Benetton onto its side. It was stated in evidence that if Damon had accelerated at the point of impact, and hence pushed Michael out of the way, he might have avoided the destructive wheel-to-wheel impact between two cars travelling at such a large speed difference and hence won the championship. This idea increases the weight behind the conclusion that the fact the accident led to Hill's withdrawal was in fact just a freak effect of the way it happened.
In summary there is nothing solid to suggest that Michael Schumacher deliberately set out to take Damon Hill out of the Australian Grand Prix of 1994. He simply closed the door on his rival, with the intention preventing any possible overtaking move, but not with the intention of deliberate collision. It is more than reasonable to expect a driver in Formula One, especially a championship contender, to be aware of the events on track behind him. This is part of a driver's responsibility to himself and his fellow competitors. Being oblivious to another car is no excuse for ignoring it. The conventional way to defend a 90-degree corner is to take the racing line and close the door on a competitor trying to overtake on the inside. The two trajectories of the racing line and the inside line intersect at such a sharp angle as to make it nearly impossible for Michael to give Damon racing room to turn in alongside him: either Damon had to brake in time, or they would collide. For Michael to give Damon racing room would have meant a very wide line for Michael on the exit, to give Damon the space necessary to turn into the corner, something he had hardly started to do by the time he had arrived at the apex. Due to his off-course excursion at the previous corner and the resultant reduced speeds, the situation was unusual, and Michael should have known an attempt was likely if not certain, and should have been more aware of the position of his rival's car. Michael's mistake was just assuming that ignoring the problems of his off-course excursion and therefore the chasing car being on his rear wing and just taking his line regardless would make it go away. Michael knew the situation was very unusual: you can't really expect to take the racing line unchallenged if you are travelling at less than racing speed.
Michael Schumacher did turn into the corner in a fashion which did not take into account the car behind him, which he should have been aware was likely to attempt an overtake there. Possibly through being more interested in his cars state than his rival's position, possibly through simply not thinking anyone would overtake there, or possibly through just thinking if he strong-armed it, Hill wouldn't go for the pass. Michael did not take sufficient care of his position on track relative to another car. We must conclude that Michael Schumacher caused the incident through reckless negligence, but that there is no evidence whatsoever apart from the circumstantial evidence of motive and opportunity that he intended for this to happen.