all possible championship standings after Suzuka :
M. Schumacher - 92 pts - he can be Nr. 1 or Nr. 2
K. Raikkonen - 83 pts - he can be Nr. 1, Nr. 2 or Nr. 3
J.P. Montoya - 82 pts - he can be Nr. 2 or Nr. 3
R. Schumacher - 58 pts - he can be Nr. 4, Nr. 5, Nr. 6
R. Barrichello - 55 pts - he can be Nr.4, Nr. 5, Nr. 6, Nr. 7
F. Alonso - 55 pts - he can be Nr.4, Nr. 5, Nr. 6, Nr. 7
D. Coulthard - 45 pts - he can be Nr. 5, Nr. 6, Nr. 7
J. Trulli - 29 pts - he can only be Nr. 8 (Webber has 17 pts)
As everyone knows only 3 possible Top-3 rankings can take place :
MS/JPM/KR or MS/KR/JPM or KR/MS/JPM
For position 4, 5, 6 and 7 we have 11 possible rankings, 5 of which
are based on an hypothetic victory of DC combined to the fact that
either FA or RB (or even both) do not get points at all in Suzuka :
RS/DC/RB/FA or RS/RB/DC/FA or RS/FA/DC/RB or FA/RS/DC/RB or RB/RS/DC/FA
The other 6 (much more likely) possibilities are as follows :
RS/RB/FA/DC or RS/FA/RB/DC or FA/RS/RB/DC or FA/RB/RS/DC or RB/FA/RS/DC or RB/RS/FA/DC
At the end of the day, each driver's chances for each position are:
Rank 4 : RS-45% RB-27% FA-27% DC-0%
Rank 5 : RS-36% RB-27% FA-27% DC-9%
Rank 6 : RS-18% RB-27% FA-18% DC-36%
Rank 7 : RS-0% RB-18% FA-27% DC-55%
RB has a slight advantage over FA if both do not get points as the
Brazilian got more finishes in 3rd position than the Spaniard... So we
should logically expect : Nr.4 RS / Nr.5 RB / Nr.6 FA / Nr.7 DC.
However, all this is only maths !
In reality I would like : Nr.4 FA / Nr.5 RS / Nr.6 RB / Nr.7 DC...
How about you ???
