
Is Schumacher that good or is he just very lucky??
#1
Posted 30 March 2004 - 22:46
Thoughts/Opinions
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#2
Posted 30 March 2004 - 22:54
#3
Posted 30 March 2004 - 22:55
#4
Posted 30 March 2004 - 22:57



#5
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:01
In the case of MS it is his Huge talent combined with Ferrari's Huge talent combined with more than their fair share of good luck.
#6
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:09
#7
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:23
#8
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:32
#9
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:32
Originally posted by vivian
need both to be a multiple world champion.
Agreed.
#10
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:39
#11
Posted 30 March 2004 - 23:44
after damn near 200 gps how can you claim that luck plays a significant role. how big a sample do you need before you conceed he's that good.
statistically no one has more luck than anyone else. 200 is a large enough sample. was jordan "lucky". is woods" lucky"
(I'm excluding the trite saying the more you practice the luckier you get)
the other fact is that people are very good at remembering the things that went right but not those that went wrong.
#12
Posted 31 March 2004 - 00:05
Originally posted by black magic
...(I'm excluding the trite saying the more you practice the luckier you get)...
Webster's Dictionary defines trite as: "a once effective phrase or idea spoiled from long familiarity."
OK.... so it might be spoiled from overuse but it's still absolutely true.
#13
Posted 31 March 2004 - 00:09
#14
Posted 31 March 2004 - 00:42
Originally posted by vivian
need both to be a multiple world champion.
I believe that you need to be good and NOT UNLUCKY to be a world champion.
Which I think defines Schumacher and Ferrari better.
How is it that good reliability of the Ferrari is seen as good luck rather then just good preperation?
In this regard Schumacher has not been UNLUCKY that his car has failed him. But there is nothing lucky about it the fact that he has enjoyed good reliability recently.
It's not unlucky that JPM's BMW engine blows up while he is in the lead. It is poor manufacturing or poor quality control.
#15
Posted 31 March 2004 - 00:46
smithyOriginally posted by smithy
The harder he works/trains/practices, the luckier he gets.

if "luck" = talent, skill and hard work, then, ok...he's ''lucky''!!!
#16
Posted 31 March 2004 - 00:46
How many times did he spin and continue in the race, and eventually winning them? I remember Monaco 97, Argentina 98, Hungaroring 98, Indy 00, Imola 03... All of them were crucial races for his championship hopes, he won them all, despite spinning or suffering off course excusrions. But then he also delivered fantastic performances on other events in which the pressure was so that only the greatest ever could withstand, Monza 98, Monza 00, Monza 03, Hungaroring 98. But then he also fumbled under pressure, Adelaide 94, Jerez 97, Nurburgring 98, Suzuka 98, Suzuka 03...
If we put everything together, I beleive we have in front of us the greatest driver ever, who's greatness comes not from raw speed, inate talent, ice cold thinking and unique race craft, but from an excelling combination of all these factors, plus a huge ammount of luck, determination and motivation.
#17
Posted 31 March 2004 - 01:29
#18
Posted 31 March 2004 - 01:55
Originally posted by SlateGray
"It's better to be lucky than good"
In the case of MS it is his Huge talent combined with Ferrari's Huge talent combined with more than their fair share of good luck.




#19
Posted 31 March 2004 - 02:18
If you're good, you make your own luck. At least it seems that way to the people you're crushing week in, week out.
Schumacher is good. Damn him.

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#20
Posted 31 March 2004 - 02:25
Originally posted by vivian
need both to be a multiple world champion.
Strike the word "multiple" from that sentence....no one wins a lucky WDC....every single one of them was well earned and deserved (although not all WDC's are equal in terms of merit)...
#21
Posted 31 March 2004 - 03:21
Originally posted by Rene
Strike the word "multiple" from that sentence....no one wins a lucky WDC....every single one of them was well earned and deserved (although not all WDC's are equal in terms of merit)...
Exactly, you can win a lucky race "Fissi in a Jordan last year" but highly unlikely you can have that sort of luck throughout the whole season and become WDC.
Simple really, you win a WDC you're good!
#22
Posted 31 March 2004 - 03:41
What if Schumcher had lost controle of his car wheh he had a small trip on the grass last year at Imola?
There is too much involved to say that a championship was decided on luck, but sometimes one can think/ponder/imagine how much influence did one small isolated event have in the season.
Just some food for thought...
#23
Posted 31 March 2004 - 03:53
He is truly a great driver but I recall him stating that you still need some luck. For example, two teams battling for second place is lucky for him, as was a bit of the case last year.
However, since 1994 (10 years), he has been in the top 3 each year (except 1999 when he was injured) and since that time has demonstrated an achievemnt level unparalled in sport. Great, with some luck thrown in for good mix.
#24
Posted 31 March 2004 - 04:31
Originally posted by Rene
Strike the word "multiple" from that sentence....no one wins a lucky WDC....every single one of them was well earned and deserved (although not all WDC's are equal in terms of merit)...
sorry, i did not mean that at all. every WDC is well earned. i was refering to any world champion trying to be multiple world champion, people will tend to attribute more and more luck. i believe in some good luck too.
#25
Posted 31 March 2004 - 05:07
Originally posted by HBoss
What if Schumcher had lost controle of his car wheh he had a small trip on the grass last year at Imola?
But doesn't the fact that he maintained control of the car fall into the "good" column?
#26
Posted 31 March 2004 - 05:11
By the samples of luck it is said here about Shumi( a rather limited set with every thing that happens in a race) : spins, offs etc also can be said of any other driver if he was in spotlight of best ever´s.
This year just reminding of Mr. Montoya and Mr. Massa spins.
#27
Posted 31 March 2004 - 06:11
For the rest, it´s his talent which brought him to the point where he is now: The best F1 driver so far.
#28
Posted 31 March 2004 - 06:43

#29
Posted 31 March 2004 - 07:09
nothing else, not a single piece of talent would be required.
#30
Posted 31 March 2004 - 11:17
lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky lucky
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lucky lucky ??
Yeah, right

#31
Posted 31 March 2004 - 11:22
Originally posted by Frans
: Luck and Germans........ ya should write a book about it...................
Do please elaborate...

#32
Posted 31 March 2004 - 11:40
#33
Posted 31 March 2004 - 12:31
What I find truly dazzling about this man is his political cunning. He has consistently manipulated a complicated corporatized monied world, and come out on top. Of course, it is in something as inconsequential and narcassistic as auto racing, but it is still impressive. If only wonderwoman had a talkshow, where her guests were forced to tell the truth (remember her s&m truth lasso?)...I would love to know the real inside story on this guy's career. Like just about everything in the media, we never will, of course. But just imagine if he told the whole story of his career sans public relations BS, image mangers, and sponsors all the while being compelled to tell the truth. I'd set my vcr for that!
Of the six billion people on the planet right now, he is not the best driver. He is probably not even one of the top 20. He is 35 years old, well passed his physical peak, but he has orchastrated the world's priemier racing series so that he is the winner every time (with the brief michelin induced exception of last year). Wow.
Sure its part circumstance, part driving ability, but its also because this man knows how stack the deck. I just wish it wasn't so freaking BORING...oh well maybe I'll just skip this year, and see how competitive f1 is next march. I have a feeling things wont change until he retires though, because political cunning dosen't degrade with age like physical prowess. And it might be another year or two before his ever increasing physcal deficiets surpass his political gifts. Lets just hope he is the last f1 king for a looooong time.
#34
Posted 31 March 2004 - 12:41
#35
Posted 31 March 2004 - 12:42
#36
Posted 31 March 2004 - 12:43

Actually the simple hypothesis of a driver achieve 6 WC and 71 wins, based on luck, is imbecile.

#37
Posted 31 March 2004 - 13:07
Originally posted by Group B
fools most of the experts
*This isn't too hard after all - after the last Malaysian GP both Eddie Jordan and Keke Rosberg got sentimental and told, how the public should look at what the #2 Ferrari is doing in "similar circumstances" and with "similar equipment" (Barrichello 4th). According to them, RB's 4th supposedly was an indication of Ferrari's "true pace" and "how anything beyond that is from Schumacher's astonishing talent only". I suddenly felt 10 years younger. Unfortunately and apparently, neither of these experts had heard (or perhaps cared) about the different rubber compounds RB and MS were using.

*Not a "flame" attempt, merely an observation.
#38
Posted 31 March 2004 - 13:19
#39
Posted 31 March 2004 - 14:01
Originally posted by beanoid
But doesn't the fact that he maintained control of the car fall into the "good" column?
And losing controle falls into the "bad".
So if good and bad cancel each other, all that is left is luck. And in that case iit was good luck.
Of course I only refer to that small event, not his entire career.
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#40
Posted 31 March 2004 - 14:20
Answer: I believe Bladrian put it best: "People who believe Michael has merely been lucky since 1992 are stupid. And I don't mean 'stupid' in the schoolground insult sense;I mean deep, ingrained, basic inability to feed themselves without messing, plain dumb stupid. Dirt dumb stupid."
13 and still counting.......
#41
Posted 31 March 2004 - 14:53
With enough approval for everyone to see I believe.
Henri Greuter
#42
Posted 31 March 2004 - 15:30
#43
Posted 31 March 2004 - 16:04
But I dont think Luck played that large of a role in his success as much as his excellent driving ability and the other 200 or so Ferrari employees who dont get anywhere near the recognition that Schumacher gets for achieving the same goal.
#44
Posted 31 March 2004 - 16:05

#45
Posted 31 March 2004 - 17:00
Originally posted by Amir_S
Question: "Is Schumacher that good or is he just very lucky??"
Answer: I believe Bladrian put it best: "People who believe Michael has merely been lucky since 1992 are stupid. And I don't mean 'stupid' in the schoolground insult sense;I mean deep, ingrained, basic inability to feed themselves without messing, plain dumb stupid. Dirt dumb stupid."
13 and still counting.......
No one is saying it is ALL luck. Just that he has better than average luck.
Which takes nothing from his skill BTW!
#46
Posted 31 March 2004 - 17:12
Hey Mpower, long time no seeOriginally posted by Mpower
btw...Hey Greg![]()

#47
Posted 31 March 2004 - 18:05
Now if Hakkinen had kept his pace up he might have been able to sail past Schumacher in the gravel trap for the win, and we would have all talked about how "lucky" Hakkinen had been that day.
Schumacher has won races on the basis that he was simply there when some other unfortunate git landed on the wrong side of lady luck. Some call it luck. I don't.
#48
Posted 31 March 2004 - 18:26
Originally posted by vapaokie
Yes and yes; and the old saying of chance favors the prepared (ie., you make your own luck) holds true. He has developed himself and his team to the top of the game.
I agree, although I voted that he good (not both)!

#49
Posted 31 March 2004 - 19:05
Originally posted by Williams
To illustrate this concept of luck, cast your mind back to a race a few years ago when Hakkinen was second behind Schumacher, decided he wasn't going to catch Schumacher and probably wouldn't pass him anyway, and so backed off. At some point in the proceedings, Schumacher spun off the track, but had enough time ahead of Hakkinen to get back on and continue to the checkered flag.
Now if Hakkinen had kept his pace up he might have been able to sail past Schumacher in the gravel trap for the win, and we would have all talked about how "lucky" Hakkinen had been that day.
Schumacher has won races on the basis that he was simply there when some other unfortunate git landed on the wrong side of lady luck. Some call it luck. I don't.
I think you are right on the money here Williams.

#50
Posted 31 March 2004 - 19:10
Originally posted by Williams
To illustrate this concept of luck, cast your mind back to a race a few years ago when Hakkinen was second behind Schumacher, decided he wasn't going to catch Schumacher and probably wouldn't pass him anyway, and so backed off. At some point in the proceedings, Schumacher spun off the track, but had enough time ahead of Hakkinen to get back on and continue to the checkered flag.
Now if Hakkinen had kept his pace up he might have been able to sail past Schumacher in the gravel trap for the win, and we would have all talked about how "lucky" Hakkinen had been that day.
Schumacher has won races on the basis that he was simply there when some other unfortunate git landed on the wrong side of lady luck . Some call it luck. I don't.
So it's the other guy's bad luck. But you don't beleve in luck so what side of what did the unfortunate git lnd on?
Can't have your luck and eat it too!