
Reasons why I think Villeneuve will go to Renault.
1. Alonso is their star, but the team doesn't garner the same fanfare and respect as the top 3 teams do. Villeneuve will give the team the media coverage it needs. And the team looks that much better on paper.
2. Trulli will probably not be resigned. I really don't know why since he's driven better than Alonso for most of the season. I just get the vibe that he's out.
3. The team probably wants a french driver. Montagny is a possibility, but not yet. We've seen recently (RB on JT pass) that Renault are fed up with inconsistencies. As a new rookie in a good car, Montagny will screwup more than Trulli as expected.
4. Why has Benetton / Renault always seem to hire drivers who can speak Italian? (Patrese, Alesi, Fisichella, Trulli, to name a few). Easier for Flavio to communicate? Villeneuve speaks Italian fluently.
5. It was the Renault powered FW19 that Villeneuve won the title with. There is history and they know him.
5. And I think this is the most important. I feel that one of the reasons for Alonso's slow start, and the apparent surge of Trulli is that Alonso's underestimated Trulli and took it easy on his preparation. With Villeneuve as his teammate, Alonso will not want to be beaten by a champion, and Villeneuve would not want to get upstaged (again) by a 20-something young driver. This is a win win situation for Flavio, because if JV beats Alonso, it'll be because he's expected to as a champion. Alonso's stock won't be damaged nearly as badly as say... if Trulli beats him. Furthermore, if Alonso can beat Villeneuve, it makes him far more valuable. This could be a very strong lineup. Button claims he's learned a lot from watching JV. Surely, Alonso can benefit also. Just as JV benefitted from the veteran Hill.
6. I feel that Renault is struggling to improve. They seem to have been stuck in a limbo in the development department (esp, engine power). They manage to keep pace, but never really stand out like Williams did last year, or Mclaren is doing with the 19B. We saw what happened to Honda's commitment once Sato signed. If JV is signed, the media coverage will be astronomical. And Renault will be expected to improve. This could provide the motivation for the Renault engineers to really make Renault a strong contender.