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[Makarias]

The standings after Monaco:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Anderis 606 101
= Apex 606 101
= arcsine 606 101
= control 606 101
= Costaz 606 101
= Crazy Canuck 606 101
= Dispenser89 606 101
= Estwald 606 101
= fisichella_2001 606 101
= Grayson 606 101
= jeze 606 101
= kismet 606 101
= kNt 606 101
= Makarias 606 101
= paranoik0 606 101
= scheivlak 606 101
= Viceroy 606 101
= Wlleiotl 606 101
19) Brawn BGP 001 605 100
= mark f1 605 101
21) AcuraF1 604 101
= skylark68 604 101
23) LB 602 97
24) KWSN -DSM 601 96
25) August 575 75

Still mostly perfect scores, but that will soon change. August is already suffering badly from some misjudged drivers and the excitement is monumental.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Butt 54,6 33,8 1
Vett 52,7 42,4 0
Hami 49,6 34,1 1
Koba 46,0 23,5 2
Petr 45,1 25,0 1
Suti 35,8 13,1 2
Webb 35,1 27,9 0
Alon 27,2 21,2 0
Heid 26,5 17,9 0
Buem 24,2 8,2 1
Rosb 17,9 13,3 0
diRe 16,9 4,9 3
Mass 13,4 8,4 0
Schu 10,8 6,2 0
Pere 10,5 3,9 1
Barr 3,2 2,0 0

31.5% of the season is behind us, higher Expect rank than that and the driver is doing fine. First humble points for Barrichello.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Alonso Button Webber Kobayashi
* Potential 468 * Potential 394 * Potential 401 * Potential 404 * Potential 344
* Forecast 453 August 324 * Forecast 241 August 282 Wlleiotl 80
Costaz 336 kNt 307 Crazy Canuck 224 Dispenser89 268 kNt 65
arcsine 318 Costaz 305 LB 204 AcuraF1 252 paranoik0 60
August 317 jeze 289 fisichella_2001 182 * Forecast 250 * Forecast 60
AcuraF1 315 AcuraF1 279 control 180 paranoik0 245 Dispenser89 56
paranoik0 292 scheivlak 278 skylark68 177 Crazy Canuck 242 jeze 55
Brawn BGP 001 281 Makarias 265 mark f1 175 LB 242 arcsine 51
Apex 280 Brawn BGP 001 260 Viceroy 168 kismet 239 scheivlak 49
scheivlak 280 Anderis 259 Dispenser89 164 Anderis 234 fisichella_2001 47
Anderis 279 Crazy Canuck 252 AcuraF1 161 arcsine 231 Viceroy 46
jeze 278 LB 252 Grayson 160 Viceroy 230 Brawn BGP 001 45
Makarias 272 Viceroy 251 Makarias 158 Costaz 226 Makarias 44
skylark68 268 skylark68 249 Costaz 150 Apex 225 skylark68 44
Viceroy 267 paranoik0 247 jeze 145 fisichella_2001 221 Estwald 43
fisichella_2001 266 fisichella_2001 246 Brawn BGP 001 137 jeze 221 Apex 40
kNt 265 arcsine 242 Apex 135 skylark68 220 Costaz 40
mark f1 265 Estwald 240 kismet 131 mark f1 219 Grayson 40
Crazy Canuck 256 kismet 240 scheivlak 125 kNt 215 KWSN -DSM 40
LB 256 Apex 235 arcsine 121 scheivlak 215 Anderis 39
Dispenser89 254 mark f1 235 kNt 103 Brawn BGP 001 210 kismet 36
Wlleiotl 250 KWSN -DSM 224 Anderis 93 Estwald 210 mark f1 25
kismet 247 control 223 paranoik0 88 Makarias 208 control 22
Estwald 243 Dispenser89 220 KWSN -DSM 81 control 200 AcuraF1 20
control 235 Grayson 220 Estwald 80 Wlleiotl 200 Crazy Canuck 20
Grayson 235 * Forecast 219 Wlleiotl 80 KWSN -DSM 195 * Current 19
KWSN -DSM 223 Wlleiotl 200 * Current 76 Grayson 175 LB 15
* Current 143 * Current 69 August 60 * Current 79 August 10

Button and Kobayashi already cost August a lot, and several other players are now within reach for these regularly scoring drivers.


Guesses on P6-P10:

Hamilton Sutil Heidfeld Barrichello Buemi
* Potential 410 * Potential 333 * Potential 354 * Potential 327 * Potential 332
* Forecast 269 Grayson 60 kNt 161 Wlleiotl 100 KWSN -DSM 84
control 248 Dispenser89 42 jeze 152 Estwald 80 kismet 77
Grayson 236 Apex 35 Wlleiotl 150 Anderis 79 Wlleiotl 60
Crazy Canuck 230 skylark68 33 Anderis 129 Brawn BGP 001 78 Apex 40
AcuraF1 222 control 31 Dispenser89 124 mark f1 75 LB 40
fisichella_2001 209 Crazy Canuck 30 LB 122 arcsine 73 Costaz 37
jeze 209 fisichella_2001 29 scheivlak 122 paranoik0 73 Anderis 34
skylark68 205 jeze 29 mark f1 120 Dispenser89 72 Estwald 31
Costaz 201 kismet 29 KWSN -DSM 116 scheivlak 72 Crazy Canuck 30
LB 200 * Forecast 25 August 112 Apex 70 Grayson 30
Viceroy 196 Viceroy 24 arcsine 110 kismet 66 kNt 26
mark f1 195 arcsine 22 Estwald 110 fisichella_2001 60 paranoik0 26
Dispenser89 193 kNt 21 paranoik0 109 Grayson 60 skylark68 26
Apex 185 LB 20 Makarias 106 August 59 Makarias 23
Makarias 177 mark f1 20 control 104 Makarias 59 * Forecast 22
scheivlak 175 Makarias 17 Brawn BGP 001 100 skylark68 58 arcsine 20
Brawn BGP 001 158 Costaz 16 skylark68 100 control 52 mark f1 20
kismet 145 scheivlak 15 kismet 99 Costaz 52 scheivlak 19
kNt 137 Anderis 15 fisichella_2001 96 LB 52 AcuraF1 17
arcsine 131 Estwald 15 Apex 95 Viceroy 52 August 15
Anderis 129 Brawn BGP 001 14 * Forecast 92 kNt 51 Dispenser89 14
Estwald 113 paranoik0 12 Grayson 90 Crazy Canuck 47 jeze 14
August 109 AcuraF1 10 Viceroy 85 AcuraF1 46 Viceroy 14
paranoik0 100 Wlleiotl 10 Crazy Canuck 82 KWSN -DSM 39 control 12
Wlleiotl 100 * Current 8 Costaz 74 jeze 33 fisichella_2001 8
* Current 85 August 6 AcuraF1 70 * Forecast 6 * Current 7
KWSN -DSM 84 KWSN -DSM 4 * Current 29 * Current 2 Brawn BGP 001 6

First victims taken by Hamilton, Sutil and Buemi.

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1581,3 6,9
jeze 1544,3 23,3
Dispenser89 1539,5 19,9
Costaz 1538,3 2,7
LB 1535,8 -2,2
AcuraF1 1532,0 -9,6
fisichella_2001 1528,3 15,3
control 1519,5 -6,7
skylark68 1512,2 13,0
Viceroy 1500,2 16,2
Grayson 1490,2 -0,6
Makarias 1472,2 3,4
mark f1 1469,7 -1,5
Apex 1469,5 7,7
arcsine 1469,0 16,0
scheivlak 1464,0 7,0
Brawn BGP 001 1437,0 2,0
kNt 1407,0 40,0
kismet 1402,5 3,7
paranoik0 1399,2 14,4
Anderis 1372,8 -2,4
Estwald 1324,3 0,1
August 1319,5 -17,1
Wlleiotl 1301,0 -8,2
KWSN -DSM 1243,3 -22,1

On average a slightly positive trend. Vettel should learn how to let other drivers score points.