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[Makarias]

The standings after Belgium:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) fisichella_2001 1208 101
= jeze 1208 97
= Viceroy 1208 99
4) Dispenser89 1207 96
5) Makarias 1205 95
6) Costaz 1201 94
7) Crazy Canuck 1199 98
8) skylark68 1195 99
9) LB 1191 94
10) Apex 1189 85
= mark f1 1189 95
12) Grayson 1188 77
13) Brawn BGP 001 1184 83
14) AcuraF1 1181 94
15) control 1180 77
16) scheivlak 1179 80
17) kismet 1172 72
18) arcsine 1167 84
19) kNt 1154 83
20) Anderis 1124 78
21) paranoik0 1093 80
22) Estwald 1083 64
23) Wlleiotl 1071 71
24) August 1027 79
25) KWSN -DSM 1020 55

The final three previously perfect scores get their first blemishes as fisichella_2001 is the only one to get a 101 score this round. With Vettel already having reached the high expectations put on him, this may well be one of the very last of those this season.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Suti 107,3 39,3 15
Butt 107,0 66,2 13
Vett 95,5 76,9 9
Hami 85,1 58,6 9
Webb 74,2 59,0 0
Petr 73,0 40,5 9
diRe 67,8 19,5 9
Koba 65,4 33,3 6
Alon 61,9 48,3 0
Pere 42,0 15,7 7
Buem 41,5 14,1 2
Mass 41,3 25,9 0
Rosb 38,6 28,7 0
Algu 33,2 11,6 1
Schu 32,4 18,6 0
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0

The first two beating their 100% expectation marks this season are Jenson Button and Adrian Sutil! Congratulations! Vettel and Hamilton should get there too reasonably soon.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Vettel Webber Button Alonso Schumacher
* Potential 434 * Potential 342 * Potential 324 * Potential 332 KWSN -DSM 225
* Forecast 410 August 282 * Forecast 236 August 324 * Potential 217
Costaz 336 Dispenser89 268 Crazy Canuck 224 kNt 307 Estwald 210
arcsine 318 * Forecast 264 LB 204 Costaz 305 August 173
August 317 AcuraF1 252 fisichella_2001 182 jeze 289 Makarias 155
AcuraF1 315 paranoik0 245 control 180 AcuraF1 279 mark f1 155
paranoik0 292 Crazy Canuck 242 skylark68 177 scheivlak 278 paranoik0 155
Brawn BGP 001 281 LB 242 mark f1 175 Makarias 265 AcuraF1 149
Apex 280 kismet 239 Viceroy 168 Brawn BGP 001 260 Brawn BGP 001 146
scheivlak 280 Anderis 234 Dispenser89 164 Anderis 259 Anderis 139
Anderis 279 arcsine 231 AcuraF1 161 Crazy Canuck 252 skylark68 136
jeze 278 Viceroy 230 Grayson 160 LB 252 Grayson 135
Makarias 272 Costaz 226 Makarias 158 Viceroy 251 kismet 135
skylark68 268 Apex 225 Costaz 150 * Forecast 249 Viceroy 130
Viceroy 267 fisichella_2001 221 * Current 149 skylark68 249 fisichella_2001 121
fisichella_2001 266 jeze 221 jeze 145 paranoik0 247 Wlleiotl 120
kNt 265 skylark68 220 Brawn BGP 001 137 fisichella_2001 246 kNt 113
mark f1 265 mark f1 219 Apex 135 arcsine 242 control 112
* Current 259 kNt 215 kismet 131 Estwald 240 scheivlak 103
Crazy Canuck 256 scheivlak 215 scheivlak 125 kismet 240 arcsine 101
LB 256 Brawn BGP 001 210 arcsine 121 Apex 235 Costaz 101
Dispenser89 254 Estwald 210 kNt 103 mark f1 235 LB 100
Wlleiotl 250 Makarias 208 Anderis 93 KWSN -DSM 224 Apex 90
kismet 247 control 200 paranoik0 88 control 223 Crazy Canuck 90
Estwald 243 Wlleiotl 200 KWSN -DSM 81 Dispenser89 220 Dispenser89 90
control 235 KWSN -DSM 195 Estwald 80 Grayson 220 * Forecast 67
Grayson 235 Grayson 175 Wlleiotl 80 Wlleiotl 200 jeze 54
KWSN -DSM 223 * Current 167 August 60 * Current 157 * Current 42

Vettel and Button are in the mayhem zone and Webber should join them soon; Alonso too a bit later. Schumacher had a great result and can beat jeze in a few races.

Guesses on P6-P10:

Rosberg Sutil Massa Petrov Maldonado
* Potential 231 * Potential 199 August 285 * Potential 209 * Potential 176
KWSN -DSM 194 Grayson 60 * Potential 249 KWSN -DSM 83 Wlleiotl 60
Estwald 188 Dispenser89 42 control 216 Grayson 78 Estwald 44
Apex 175 * Forecast 38 kNt 211 control 77 Dispenser89 36
Makarias 175 Apex 35 KWSN -DSM 200 Wlleiotl 70 arcsine 35
Brawn BGP 001 169 skylark68 33 Anderis 194 Estwald 68 paranoik0 34
paranoik0 168 control 31 arcsine 194 jeze 65 Apex 30
Viceroy 167 Crazy Canuck 30 Estwald 193 * Forecast 54 Anderis 29
mark f1 165 fisichella_2001 29 kismet 189 Brawn BGP 001 54 kNt 28
kismet 155 jeze 29 Viceroy 186 scheivlak 54 Viceroy 24
fisichella_2001 154 kismet 29 mark f1 185 kNt 53 fisichella_2001 22
Wlleiotl 150 Viceroy 24 fisichella_2001 184 Dispenser89 51 kismet 22
control 145 * Current 24 Wlleiotl 180 paranoik0 48 jeze 21
Grayson 145 arcsine 22 AcuraF1 176 LB 45 Brawn BGP 001 17
skylark68 145 kNt 21 scheivlak 173 arcsine 43 Costaz 17
Anderis 144 LB 20 jeze 171 Makarias 42 scheivlak 16
AcuraF1 136 mark f1 20 skylark68 170 Crazy Canuck 40 control 15
August 130 Makarias 17 Costaz 168 fisichella_2001 38 Grayson 15
LB 130 Costaz 16 Brawn BGP 001 166 * Current 34 KWSN -DSM 13
scheivlak 130 scheivlak 15 Apex 160 AcuraF1 33 Makarias 13
Costaz 126 Anderis 15 paranoik0 160 August 33 AcuraF1 12
arcsine 125 Estwald 15 Makarias 147 Costaz 33 Crazy Canuck 12
Crazy Canuck 120 Brawn BGP 001 14 Crazy Canuck 144 Anderis 31 LB 12
Dispenser89 114 paranoik0 12 Dispenser89 144 Viceroy 30 skylark68 12
jeze 100 AcuraF1 10 LB 144 Apex 25 mark f1 10
* Forecast 89 Wlleiotl 10 Grayson 140 kismet 25 * Forecast 2
kNt 81 August 6 * Forecast 117 skylark68 25 August 1
* Current 56 KWSN -DSM 4 * Current 74 mark f1 20 * Current 1

Sutil is making good use of Force India's late season form; Maldonado scores his first ever point. Petrov only picks up the odd point nowadays and won't make a huge impact in the overall scores, Massa is disappointing.

The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1672,5 4,3
Costaz 1633,5 4,3
AcuraF1 1631,7 7,5
LB 1618,2 3,2
Dispenser89 1616,4 15,7
fisichella_2001 1608,8 5,5
jeze 1603,9 -12,8
skylark68 1600,9 5,3
Viceroy 1594,3 2,8
Makarias 1557,9 1,9
Apex 1554,3 7,8
control 1549,8 -10,1
scheivlak 1549,4 -0,3
Grayson 1547,3 4,5
arcsine 1545,0 0,7
mark f1 1537,9 6,9
Brawn BGP 001 1522,8 2,5
kismet 1482,6 5,0
kNt 1471,9 -7,6
paranoik0 1466,3 1,2
Anderis 1455,2 3,2
August 1399,5 14,0
Estwald 1385,2 3,3
Wlleiotl 1323,2 -0,3
KWSN -DSM 1287,8 4,8

A slightly positive trend, thanks to the Mercedes drivers. Costaz has a decent chance to score three extra points bravely placed on Senna, while big bets on Heidfeld aren't worth much by now:

Not Worth a Nick(le)
* Potential 209
kNt 161
jeze 152
Wlleiotl 150
Anderis 129
Dispenser89 124
LB 122
scheivlak 122
mark f1 120
KWSN -DSM 116
August 112
arcsine 110
Estwald 110
paranoik0 109
Makarias 106
control 104
Brawn BGP 001 100
skylark68 100
kismet 99
fisichella_2001 96
Apex 95
Grayson 90
Viceroy 85
Crazy Canuck 82
Costaz 74
AcuraF1 70
* Forecast 54
* Current 34