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[Makarias]

The standings after Japan:

Pos Name Tot Latest
1) Costaz 1421 70
2) Crazy Canuck 1418 82
3) LB 1412 76
4) fisichella_2001 1406 60
5) AcuraF1 1397 61
6) jeze 1396 55
7) Dispenser89 1395 61
= Viceroy 1395 58
9) skylark68 1393 59
10) Makarias 1388 60
11) Apex 1378 59
12) mark f1 1375 55
13) control 1374 57
14) scheivlak 1362 58
15) arcsine 1361 60
16) Grayson 1355 49
17) Brawn BGP 001 1345 51
18) kismet 1302 49
19) kNt 1296 51
20) Anderis 1269 49
21) paranoik0 1255 51
22) Estwald 1210 51
23) August 1199 53
24) Wlleiotl 1196 49
25) KWSN -DSM 1146 50

Better scores on average than last round, Vettel doing as poorly as third is sort of refreshing.

The entries


The Drivers' list

Driver Expect Surprise Beat
% % #
Senn 1666,7 50,0 24
diRe 169,5 48,8 21
Butt 150,8 93,3 24
Suti 125,2 45,9 16
Vett 119,5 96,1 24
Hami 103,8 71,5 12
Webb 86,2 68,6 1
Alon 79,6 62,2 1
Petr 77,3 42,9 9
Pere 68,3 25,5 10
Koba 65,4 33,3 6
Algu 53,1 18,6 4
Mass 50,2 31,5 0
Schu 46,3 26,5 1
Buem 45,0 15,3 3
Rosb 43,4 32,3 0
Heid 31,0 21,0 0
Barr 6,4 4,0 0
Mald 4,5 1,6 0

Lewis Hamilton makes it past the 100% expectation mark and the crowd is impressed.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100%

surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2011 this is 25.


Guesses on P1-P5:

Button Alonso Vettel Webber Hamilton
* Potential 310 August 324 * Potential 424 * Potential 294 * Potential 278
* Forecast 266 kNt 307 * Forecast 410 August 282 control 248
Crazy Canuck 224 Costaz 305 Costaz 336 Dispenser89 268 Grayson 236
* Current 210 * Potential 302 * Current 324 AcuraF1 252 Crazy Canuck 230
LB 204 jeze 289 arcsine 318 * Forecast 246 * Forecast 225
fisichella_2001 182 AcuraF1 279 August 317 paranoik0 245 AcuraF1 222
control 180 scheivlak 278 AcuraF1 315 Crazy Canuck 242 fisichella_2001 209
skylark68 177 Makarias 265 paranoik0 292 LB 242 jeze 209
mark f1 175 Brawn BGP 001 260 Brawn BGP 001 281 kismet 239 skylark68 205
Viceroy 168 Anderis 259 Apex 280 Anderis 234 Costaz 201
Dispenser89 164 * Forecast 256 scheivlak 280 arcsine 231 LB 200
AcuraF1 161 Crazy Canuck 252 Anderis 279 Viceroy 230 Viceroy 196
Grayson 160 LB 252 jeze 278 Costaz 226 mark f1 195
Makarias 158 Viceroy 251 Makarias 272 Apex 225 Dispenser89 193
Costaz 150 skylark68 249 skylark68 268 fisichella_2001 221 Apex 185
jeze 145 paranoik0 247 Viceroy 267 jeze 221 * Current 178
Brawn BGP 001 137 fisichella_2001 246 fisichella_2001 266 skylark68 220 Makarias 177
Apex 135 arcsine 242 kNt 265 mark f1 219 scheivlak 175
kismet 131 Estwald 240 mark f1 265 kNt 215 Brawn BGP 001 158
scheivlak 125 kismet 240 Crazy Canuck 256 scheivlak 215 kismet 145
arcsine 121 Apex 235 LB 256 Brawn BGP 001 210 kNt 137
kNt 103 mark f1 235 Dispenser89 254 Estwald 210 arcsine 131
Anderis 93 KWSN -DSM 224 Wlleiotl 250 Makarias 208 Anderis 129
paranoik0 88 control 223 kismet 247 control 200 Estwald 113
KWSN -DSM 81 Dispenser89 220 Estwald 243 Wlleiotl 200 August 109
Estwald 80 Grayson 220 control 235 KWSN -DSM 195 paranoik0 100
Wlleiotl 80 * Current 202 Grayson 235 * Current 194 Wlleiotl 100
August 60 Wlleiotl 200 KWSN -DSM 223 Grayson 175 KWSN -DSM 84

Alonso beats Wlleiotl; Vettel and Button have one player each left to beat.

Guesses on P6-P10:

Schumacher Massa Perez Petrov Rosberg
KWSN -DSM 225 August 285 * Potential 113 * Potential 136 KWSN -DSM 194
Estwald 210 control 216 Wlleiotl 50 KWSN -DSM 83 Estwald 188
August 173 kNt 211 jeze 40 Grayson 78 Apex 175
* Potential 160 KWSN -DSM 200 arcsine 38 control 77 Makarias 175
Makarias 155 Anderis 194 kNt 34 Wlleiotl 70 Brawn BGP 001 169
mark f1 155 arcsine 194 paranoik0 34 Estwald 68 paranoik0 168
paranoik0 155 Estwald 193 Brawn BGP 001 33 jeze 65 Viceroy 167
AcuraF1 149 * Potential 190 Dispenser89 26 Brawn BGP 001 54 mark f1 165
Brawn BGP 001 146 kismet 189 scheivlak 24 scheivlak 54 * Potential 163
Anderis 139 Viceroy 186 Apex 20 kNt 53 kismet 155
skylark68 136 mark f1 185 Estwald 20 Dispenser89 51 fisichella_2001 154
Grayson 135 fisichella_2001 184 Grayson 20 paranoik0 48 Wlleiotl 150
kismet 135 Wlleiotl 180 Anderis 19 * Forecast 46 control 145
Viceroy 130 AcuraF1 176 kismet 16 LB 45 Grayson 145
fisichella_2001 121 scheivlak 173 * Forecast 16 arcsine 43 skylark68 145
Wlleiotl 120 jeze 171 Makarias 15 Makarias 42 Anderis 144
kNt 113 skylark68 170 skylark68 15 Crazy Canuck 40 AcuraF1 136
control 112 Costaz 168 * Current 13 fisichella_2001 38 August 130
scheivlak 103 Brawn BGP 001 166 fisichella_2001 12 * Current 36 LB 130
arcsine 101 Apex 160 KWSN -DSM 12 AcuraF1 33 scheivlak 130
Costaz 101 paranoik0 160 Viceroy 12 August 33 Costaz 126
LB 100 Makarias 147 AcuraF1 7 Costaz 33 arcsine 125
Apex 90 Crazy Canuck 144 Costaz 7 Anderis 31 Crazy Canuck 120
Crazy Canuck 90 Dispenser89 144 Crazy Canuck 6 Viceroy 30 Dispenser89 114
Dispenser89 90 LB 144 LB 6 Apex 25 jeze 100
* Forecast 76 Grayson 140 control 5 kismet 25 kNt 81
* Current 60 * Forecast 114 mark f1 5 skylark68 25 * Forecast 80
jeze 54 * Current 90 August 0 mark f1 20 * Current 63

More points for Perez again!


The PTPC forecast

Name Forecast +/-
Crazy Canuck 1658,4 -5,3
Costaz 1624,3 -0,1
LB 1621,3 -4,6
AcuraF1 1617,3 1,9
fisichella_2001 1585,4 -4,9
jeze 1583,3 -0,5
skylark68 1581,9 -3,3
Dispenser89 1579,9 -6,4
Viceroy 1577,7 -5,0
Makarias 1546,0 2,1
Apex 1541,6 -3,3
scheivlak 1532,1 2,4
arcsine 1530,6 -3,3
Grayson 1528,5 -10,7
control 1528,3 -5,5
mark f1 1524,7 -3,6
Brawn BGP 001 1506,3 5,0
kismet 1471,1 -3,1
kNt 1466,1 5,5
Anderis 1448,5 2,9
paranoik0 1446,2 -3,8
August 1373,5 2,5
Estwald 1359,2 -3,8
Wlleiotl 1297,2 -3,8
KWSN -DSM 1260,7 -8,1

Minor changes to the forecasts...