I think Brawn GP will really struggle to find temperature for qualifying well. This could also be an issue for McLaren whose recent improvements have been on show only in the heat of Hungary and Valencia and their cars have loved the softer tyre. Ferrari on the other hand have a handle on all conditions even if they lack raw pace to be a favourite for the win. However Kimi is usually glorious around Spa so don't count the Finn out for a possible win for the Scuderia. Without a solid number two driver in the team though, it will make it harder over the course of the weekend for Kimi.
Of the rest, Nico Rosberg also looms as a top 5 (he hasn't been out of the top 5 over the last 5 rounds). Williams is producing consistency not seen for 5 years or so and they use their tyres quite well in all scenarios without ever having a "sweet spot" which needs to be found. Maybe Spa will be a breakthrough event for Nico.... Alonso in the very average Renault could spring a qualifying surprise and run light but I doubt it after the Hungary fiasco and BMW are potential Q3 with a car that is working a tiny bit better. Toyota seem to have lost the plot entirely and are destined to fight just to make Q2.
For me I think Red Bull and Kimi, possibly Lewis, will be on the podium and Brawn will lose a lot of points to their closest rivals with poor qualifying.
Edited by Muz Bee, 24 August 2009 - 01:12.