The standings after USA:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) scheivlak 1678 85 2) DutchQuicksilver 1676 82 3) Kev00 1675 94 4) Apex 1663 71 5) Makarias 1654 83 = milestone 11 1654 89 7) Marklar 1653 62 8) noikeee 1650 70 9) fisichella_2001 1644 58 = wattoroos 1644 64 11) KWSN-DSM 1640 71 12) AcuraF1 1639 82 13) jjcale 1636 50 14) Grayson 1632 71 15) Costaz 1629 65 16) thegforcemaybewithyou1624 65 17) mark f1 1623 86 18) Barty 1600 51 = SpaceHorseParty 1600 66 20) Brawn BGP 001 1583 48 21) M2000-5 1571 86 22) markelov74 1560 82New leader! The up and coming scheivlak moves to the lead; seems like a guy with a bright future in the subforum, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Wehr 174,6 38,5 17 Vand 138,8 61,9 14 Ocon 121,9 72,3 18 Gros 111,3 54,9 13 Sain 105,6 70,1 13 Pere 105,0 78,9 14 Hami 100,1 86,0 9 Vett 94,9 77,7 6 Bott 92,9 79,2 5 Ricc 90,5 75,0 5 Räik 75,5 53,3 3 Magn 72,8 21,1 8 Hülk 71,4 42,0 3 Stro 70,9 38,6 4 Alon 56,6 26,3 4 Vers 56,2 46,1 0 Palm 45,2 22,2 0 Mass 40,8 24,0 0 Kvya 15,9 6,8 1Lewis Hamilton and Carlos Sainz get past their 100% marks! Well done!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2017 this is 22.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Vettel Räikkönen Verstappen Bottas * Potential 406 * Potential 340 Barty 305 markelov74 266 * Potential 319 * Forecast 389 markelov74 340 Brawn BGP 001 254 Makarias 245 Costaz 307 Costaz 384 M2000-5 338 noikeee 250 thegforcemaybewi244 Barty 294 M2000-5 381 noikeee 316 thegforcemaybewi250 fisichella_2001 238 markelov74 293 AcuraF1 366 * Forecast 312 jjcale 246 scheivlak 238 Grayson 290 Kev00 365 Brawn BGP 001 311 M2000-5 243 Grayson 230 thegforcemaybewi290 Grayson 360 milestone 11 310 mark f1 240 DutchQuicksilver226 AcuraF1 288 DutchQuicksilver354 AcuraF1 293 * Potential 238 jjcale 226 Kev00 288 KWSN-DSM 350 scheivlak 292 milestone 11 237 Marklar 226 * Forecast 287 Makarias 346 Marklar 289 wattoroos 233 Barty 225 DutchQuicksilver287 Apex 345 Kev00 286 KWSN-DSM 225 wattoroos 223 M2000-5 287 scheivlak 340 Makarias 283 Marklar 222 Brawn BGP 001 222 Makarias 274 markelov74 338 mark f1 280 Makarias 212 M2000-5 220 Marklar 270 mark f1 336 fisichella_2001 276 Apex 210 mark f1 220 Apex 260 milestone 11 334 SpaceHorseParty 275 scheivlak 208 noikeee 216 mark f1 260 * Current 331 thegforcemaybewi270 fisichella_2001 204 milestone 11 214 milestone 11 257 noikeee 320 wattoroos 268 DutchQuicksilver201 Apex 210 scheivlak 252 thegforcemaybewi310 jjcale 265 SpaceHorseParty 200 * Potential 198 KWSN-DSM 250 Marklar 308 * Current 265 * Forecast 192 Kev00 198 wattoroos 245 fisichella_2001 303 DutchQuicksilver258 Grayson 180 AcuraF1 192 * Current 244 wattoroos 301 Barty 252 Kev00 179 KWSN-DSM 190 Brawn BGP 001 232 Brawn BGP 001 299 Costaz 248 * Current 163 Costaz 186 jjcale 230 SpaceHorseParty 285 Apex 240 markelov74 158 SpaceHorseParty 165 noikeee 227 jjcale 280 KWSN-DSM 236 AcuraF1 150 * Forecast 145 fisichella_2001 212 Barty 274 Grayson 220 Costaz 141 * Current 123 SpaceHorseParty 190Hamilton has a very realistic chance at a 100% surprise this year, P2 finishes from now on would be enough.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ocon Sainz Perez Massa Kvyat * Potential 148 * Potential 129 * Potential 161 KWSN-DSM 149 * Potential 80 SpaceHorseParty 100 Kev00 76 AcuraF1 108 SpaceHorseParty 125 AcuraF1 72 Costaz 99 Barty 70 Costaz 104 jjcale 121 Costaz 64 * Forecast 86 fisichella_2001 67 * Forecast 101 * Potential 111 KWSN-DSM 50 AcuraF1 82 SpaceHorseParty 65 SpaceHorseParty 100 DutchQuicksilver103 Kev00 47 noikeee 79 * Forecast 64 M2000-5 98 milestone 11 103 markelov74 42 * Current 73 wattoroos 63 KWSN-DSM 95 wattoroos 98 SpaceHorseParty 40 jjcale 67 DutchQuicksilver 61 fisichella_2001 88 Brawn BGP 001 97 Grayson 35 Marklar 67 milestone 11 61 markelov74 88 mark f1 94 Apex 30 Kev00 66 Apex 60 Kev00 87 noikeee 89 mark f1 30 Brawn BGP 001 63 Grayson 55 * Current 86 markelov74 87 wattoroos 30 Apex 60 * Current 54 mark f1 85 Marklar 87 jjcale 29 Barty 60 Costaz 50 thegforcemaybewi 85 Apex 80 Marklar 29 fisichella_2001 60 KWSN-DSM 50 jjcale 82 Grayson 80 DutchQuicksilver 27 KWSN-DSM 60 scheivlak 50 Barty 80 M2000-5 79 milestone 11 27 DutchQuicksilver 55 jjcale 48 DutchQuicksilver 79 Costaz 77 noikeee 25 thegforcemaybewi 55 Marklar 48 scheivlak 78 Kev00 76 fisichella_2001 22 wattoroos 51 noikeee 46 wattoroos 75 scheivlak 76 Barty 20 Grayson 50 AcuraF1 44 Makarias 74 Barty 70 scheivlak 20 Makarias 49 Brawn BGP 001 43 Marklar 72 AcuraF1 66 Makarias 19 milestone 11 48 markelov74 42 Apex 70 thegforcemaybewi 65 Brawn BGP 001 18 scheivlak 48 Makarias 41 Grayson 70 Makarias 64 thegforcemaybewi 15 mark f1 45 mark f1 40 milestone 11 69 fisichella_2001 58 * Forecast 6 markelov74 38 thegforcemaybewi 30 noikeee 65 * Forecast 42 * Current 5 M2000-5 16 M2000-5 16 Brawn BGP 001 52 * Current 36 M2000-5 3Kvyat scores his first point since Spain...
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1842,4 4,4 DutchQuicksilver 1839,5 12,8 scheivlak 1825,4 8,4 M2000-5 1820,9 11,4 Makarias 1817,8 -2,0 AcuraF1 1813,0 -0,5 Marklar 1808,1 3,6 milestone 11 1806,9 14,4 Grayson 1806,4 -17,1 Apex 1806,2 6,2 Costaz 1792,9 2,4 noikeee 1782,9 9,2 fisichella_2001 1775,5 7,3 thegforcemaybewithyou1774,8 -8,2 wattoroos 1760,1 12,1 mark f1 1757,8 8,0 KWSN-DSM 1746,4 7,4 jjcale 1740,4 4,7 Barty 1735,4 7,4 markelov74 1731,6 -1,9 SpaceHorseParty 1726,5 12,3 Brawn BGP 001 1712,5 9,5Oooh, it's looking quite close up front!
