The standings after France:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Barty 808 101 = Bleu 808 101 = Costaz 808 101 = DutchQuicksilver 808 101 = f1paul 808 101 = fisichella_2001 808 101 = Grayson 808 101 = Kev00 808 101 = Marklar 808 101 = noikeee 808 101 = scheivlak 808 101 = sladealonso 808 101 = SpaceHorseParty 808 101 = thegforcemaybewithyou 808 101 = wattoroos 808 101 16) M2000-5 807 100 17) Makarias 804 101 = mark f1 804 99 19) Brawn BGP 001 800 101 20) Anderis 792 93 21) KWSN-DSM 785 91 22) GTA 780 91 23) thequadge 769 91The McLarens are costing players pretty big points already.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bott 69,2 55,0 0 Sain 57,6 14,5 4 Hami 57,5 49,2 0 Kvya 47,7 19,2 3 Norr 47,0 11,4 5 Vers 40,0 33,3 0 Albo 37,9 15,2 2 Räik 33,5 20,2 0 Pere 33,3 16,0 1 Vett 32,5 28,8 0 Lecl 30,1 24,6 0 Stro 29,3 14,6 2 Magn 25,0 14,6 0 Gasl 22,6 16,3 0 Hülk 20,4 13,4 0 Ricc 17,2 10,7 0 Gros 3,3 2,0 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Bottas Leclerc Verstappen Vettel * Potential 511 * Potential 474 * Potential 410 * Potential 425 * Potential 435 * Forecast 488 * Forecast 391 sladealonso 345 Marklar 299 M2000-5 381 mark f1 377 Grayson 270 Anderis 340 Makarias 292 Bleu 378 M2000-5 358 GTA 264 thequadge 331 Anderis 290 Brawn BGP 001 374 Bleu 356 Kev00 255 Brawn BGP 001 322 scheivlak 288 noikeee 365 Makarias 356 Barty 250 f1paul 315 f1paul 286 thequadge 353 Kev00 353 KWSN-DSM 248 SpaceHorseParty 312 sladealonso 275 DutchQuicksilver351 Grayson 350 M2000-5 241 noikeee 310 Kev00 270 GTA 351 thequadge 345 mark f1 240 thegforcemaybewi299 wattoroos 268 Marklar 349 GTA 340 DutchQuicksilver238 Marklar 298 GTA 267 fisichella_2001 348 sladealonso 336 thequadge 228 fisichella_2001 297 thegforcemaybewi266 Makarias 345 DutchQuicksilver334 Bleu 224 GTA 290 noikeee 265 Barty 342 fisichella_2001 329 fisichella_2001 208 Barty 276 * Forecast 263 Anderis 340 Barty 326 thegforcemaybewi208 scheivlak 276 mark f1 260 Grayson 340 wattoroos 326 Makarias 207 mark f1 270 DutchQuicksilver253 mark f1 340 thegforcemaybewi317 scheivlak 207 Grayson 266 KWSN-DSM 249 f1paul 329 noikeee 316 sladealonso 205 Bleu 263 M2000-5 248 thegforcemaybewi325 scheivlak 315 Costaz 202 wattoroos 259 thequadge 243 sladealonso 322 KWSN-DSM 309 wattoroos 201 Makarias 257 Brawn BGP 001 234 Kev00 321 f1paul 301 Marklar 200 DutchQuicksilver256 fisichella_2001 230 wattoroos 313 Marklar 300 Brawn BGP 001 189 M2000-5 251 Bleu 226 scheivlak 311 Brawn BGP 001 299 noikeee 173 KWSN-DSM 250 Grayson 200 KWSN-DSM 310 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 167 Kev00 242 SpaceHorseParty 189 Costaz 299 SpaceHorseParty 267 Anderis 165 * Forecast 223 Barty 180 * Forecast 289 Anderis 238 f1paul 164 Costaz 180 Costaz 170 SpaceHorseParty 289 * Current 186 * Current 149 * Current 85 * Current 100 * Current 11015 to go for Bottas now, the bloodbath will soon commence. Hamilton is sneaking up on Anderis too in a few wins.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Räikkönen Hülkenberg Norris Gasly * Potential 351 * Potential 344 * Potential 341 * Potential 339 * Potential 360 Costaz 178 Anderis 93 thequadge 118 Costaz 122 f1paul 214 SpaceHorseParty 111 GTA 81 Anderis 107 SpaceHorseParty 83 wattoroos 179 Brawn BGP 001 88 KWSN-DSM 81 SpaceHorseParty 104 Brawn BGP 001 62 Bleu 176 * Forecast 68 Marklar 74 fisichella_2001 87 Barty 40 Brawn BGP 001 172 wattoroos 49 wattoroos 71 Brawn BGP 001 85 * Forecast 37 DutchQuicksilver171 fisichella_2001 44 Barty 70 KWSN-DSM 83 wattoroos 36 sladealonso 165 thegforcemaybewi 44 Kev00 70 Makarias 83 f1paul 34 thegforcemaybewi165 DutchQuicksilver 43 scheivlak 69 scheivlak 82 Kev00 33 Anderis 163 sladealonso 43 SpaceHorseParty 57 thegforcemaybewi 82 scheivlak 31 noikeee 160 f1paul 41 fisichella_2001 55 Barty 80 sladealonso 30 thequadge 159 Barty 40 noikeee 55 Grayson 80 Grayson 25 Kev00 158 Grayson 40 DutchQuicksilver 54 mark f1 80 thegforcemaybewi 25 M2000-5 158 scheivlak 38 f1paul 54 M2000-5 78 noikeee 24 Makarias 153 Makarias 37 Grayson 52 GTA 77 fisichella_2001 21 Barty 150 noikeee 36 * Forecast 50 Bleu 74 Makarias 20 Grayson 150 Bleu 35 Bleu 46 wattoroos 71 Bleu 19 KWSN-DSM 150 Marklar 34 sladealonso 45 sladealonso 70 Marklar 19 mark f1 150 M2000-5 30 Brawn BGP 001 43 DutchQuicksilver 68 DutchQuicksilver 16 Marklar 148 mark f1 30 Costaz 43 noikeee 68 Anderis 15 GTA 140 Kev00 27 thequadge 41 f1paul 62 * Current 14 scheivlak 134 * Current 26 mark f1 40 Costaz 61 M2000-5 13 fisichella_2001 123 KWSN-DSM 18 thegforcemaybewi 40 Kev00 57 mark f1 10 SpaceHorseParty 119 GTA 16 M2000-5 39 Marklar 50 thequadge 6 Costaz 112 Anderis 10 Makarias 33 * Forecast 42 KWSN-DSM 1 * Forecast 92 thequadge 7 * Current 19 * Current 16 GTA 0 * Current 35McLaren vs Renault seems like a good battle in the WCC, but expectations were clearly higher on the Renault side. If Gasly loses his seat all hell will break loose.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Kev00 1782,4 -5,6 mark f1 1776,6 -18,4 Grayson 1757,9 -12,1 DutchQuicksilver 1747,5 -10,5 M2000-5 1730,0 -18,0 GTA 1729,0 -11,0 sladealonso 1728,4 -14,6 Bleu 1727,0 -12,0 scheivlak 1725,9 -10,1 wattoroos 1724,0 -12,0 thegforcemaybewithyou1714,5 -23,5 Makarias 1708,1 -17,9 fisichella_2001 1693,9 -13,1 Barty 1692,0 -9,0 Marklar 1683,4 -10,6 KWSN-DSM 1679,5 -10,5 noikeee 1673,8 -11,3 f1paul 1640,5 -5,5 thequadge 1630,8 -10,3 Brawn BGP 001 1629,0 10,0 Costaz 1597,1 -17,9 SpaceHorseParty 1571,6 22,6 Anderis 1550,9 -2,1Exciting? Very!
