Are you saying that tarmac will allow the car to scrub off more speed than gravel would, in all situations ?
Not really when my next paragraph started with : "there will be crashes where the car digs in 'just enough' to scrub off speed … so it will reach the barrier at a lower speed than would have been the case with tarmac".
I am however saying that tarmac will allow the car to reach the barrier at its intented spot, and at its intented orientation, i.e. upright. One scenario relies on blind luck to 'work better', the other relies on science to always offer a
guaranteed safe outcome.
Answer me this: which would you prefer:
1) plowing head first going 200km/h into a tire wall that was designed to be hit at 200km/h;
2a) plowing head first going 100km/h into a tire wall that was designed to be hit at 200km/h, while knowing that your head, depending on blind luck, may or may not have first made contact with gravel at 250km/h;
2b) plowing head first going 100km/h into a catch fence
above a tire wall that was designed to be hit at 200km/h;
I know it's counter intuitive since we often (*) see lots of speed - and car bits - being ripped off in gravel crashes, and we therefore naturally assume it's safer because the ~final~ hit into the barrier - if the car indeed even gets that far - will look a lot less violent, but it's not the final hit that's problematic, since that one will have been accounted for, it's what happens along the way. The key is to remove as much variables as possible along that way.
You know that I love you Tsarwash, and that I'd marry you if you were into blokes and if my wife would let me, and - perhaps the biggest hurdle - if you got rid of the cats coz I'm allergic to them, so don't take this personally because the following is no longer aimed at you:
I'm really done with this. When we're at the point where people are suggesting water run-offs, or opinioning that flying through thin air is safer than sliding over asphalt, or when we're shown footage of cars literally flying over tarmac run-off while ignoring the car was actually already airborne prior to reaching the run-off, it is time to accept I'm in a battle I can't possibly win.
Especially when realising the actual issue - with Huberts' crash, which is what re-ignited all this - is that it mostly happened because of a blind corner, and when realising that people are pretending - without much success - that tarmac run-off offers a bigger safety hazard than gravel when in fact they just hate track limit abuse. A problem - which I also hate and - which is not fixed by bringing back the more unsafe gravel, but by the generous distribution of cojones in the race control room.
(*) And we tend to ignore the ones where we don't, such as Servia in Laguna Seca, Alonso in Oz, Schumacher in Silverstone, or basically everyone when the gravel is wet.