The standings after Mexico:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Grayson 1667 60 2) Bleu 1637 74 3) mark f1 1632 76 4) Kev00 1631 65 5) DutchQuicksilver 1619 52 6) Barty 1610 37 7) M2000-5 1609 70 8) fisichella_2001 1594 51 9) GTA 1590 58 10) sladealonso 1589 54 11) Makarias 1587 74 = thegforcemaybewithyou1587 51 13) scheivlak 1584 45 14) wattoroos 1582 48 15) KWSN-DSM 1553 51 16) Marklar 1547 45 17) Costaz 1534 25 18) noikeee 1533 45 19) Brawn BGP 001 1528 45 20) thequadge 1506 57 21) f1paul 1489 45 22) SpaceHorseParty 1470 37 23) Anderis 1402 4525 to 76 points scored this round.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Albo 400,5 160,9 23 Sain 168,2 42,5 20 Kvya 162,2 65,4 22 Bott 133,2 105,9 23 Norr 117,5 28,5 18 Hami 110,6 94,7 21 Pere 110,1 53,1 13 Stro 102,5 51,2 13 Vers 86,8 72,3 4 Kubi 85,2 14,3 10 Lecl 82,4 67,3 1 Vett 67,4 59,7 0 Räik 54,6 33,0 0 Gasl 48,3 34,9 0 Hülk 44,5 29,4 0 Ricc 40,9 25,3 0 Magn 35,7 20,8 0 Gros 13,1 8,2 0 Giov 11,9 4,8 0Sergio Perez becomes the eighth driver to beat his expectation mark this season!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Vettel Bottas Leclerc Gasly * Potential 433 M2000-5 381 * Potential 362 sladealonso 345 f1paul 214 * Forecast 418 Bleu 378 * Forecast 335 Anderis 340 wattoroos 179 mark f1 377 Brawn BGP 001 374 * Current 287 thequadge 331 Bleu 176 M2000-5 358 noikeee 365 Grayson 270 Brawn BGP 001 322 Brawn BGP 001 172 * Current 358 thequadge 353 GTA 264 f1paul 315 DutchQuicksilver171 Bleu 356 DutchQuicksilver351 Kev00 255 SpaceHorseParty 312 sladealonso 165 Makarias 356 GTA 351 Barty 250 noikeee 310 thegforcemaybewi165 Kev00 353 Marklar 349 KWSN-DSM 248 * Potential 308 Anderis 163 Grayson 350 fisichella_2001 348 M2000-5 241 thegforcemaybewi299 noikeee 160 thequadge 345 Makarias 345 mark f1 240 Marklar 298 thequadge 159 GTA 340 Barty 342 DutchQuicksilver238 fisichella_2001 297 Kev00 158 sladealonso 336 Anderis 340 thequadge 228 GTA 290 M2000-5 158 DutchQuicksilver334 Grayson 340 Bleu 224 Barty 276 Makarias 153 fisichella_2001 329 mark f1 340 fisichella_2001 208 scheivlak 276 * Potential 150 Barty 326 f1paul 329 thegforcemaybewi208 * Forecast 272 Barty 150 wattoroos 326 thegforcemaybewi325 Makarias 207 mark f1 270 Grayson 150 thegforcemaybewi317 sladealonso 322 scheivlak 207 Grayson 266 KWSN-DSM 150 noikeee 316 Kev00 321 sladealonso 205 Bleu 263 mark f1 150 scheivlak 315 wattoroos 313 Costaz 202 wattoroos 259 Marklar 148 KWSN-DSM 309 scheivlak 311 wattoroos 201 Makarias 257 GTA 140 f1paul 301 KWSN-DSM 310 Marklar 200 DutchQuicksilver256 scheivlak 134 Marklar 300 * Potential 303 Brawn BGP 001 189 M2000-5 251 fisichella_2001 123 Brawn BGP 001 299 Costaz 299 noikeee 173 KWSN-DSM 250 SpaceHorseParty 119 Costaz 296 SpaceHorseParty 289 SpaceHorseParty 167 Kev00 242 Costaz 112 SpaceHorseParty 267 * Forecast 266 Anderis 165 * Current 233 * Forecast 88 Anderis 238 * Current 228 f1paul 164 Costaz 180 * Current 75Hamilton is now 20 points away from a 100% surprise.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Verstappen Perez Ricciardo Gasly Hülkenberg Marklar 299 * Potential 118 thequadge 149 f1paul 214 thequadge 118 * Potential 292 KWSN-DSM 80 SpaceHorseParty 128 wattoroos 179 * Potential 110 Makarias 292 Makarias 75 Anderis 118 Bleu 176 Anderis 107 Anderis 290 DutchQuicksilver 61 * Potential 113 Brawn BGP 001 172 SpaceHorseParty 104 scheivlak 288 fisichella_2001 53 Makarias 108 DutchQuicksilver171 fisichella_2001 87 f1paul 286 Bleu 52 scheivlak 104 sladealonso 165 Brawn BGP 001 85 sladealonso 275 GTA 51 Barty 100 thegforcemaybewi165 KWSN-DSM 83 Kev00 270 Grayson 50 Brawn BGP 001 100 Anderis 163 Makarias 83 wattoroos 268 mark f1 50 mark f1 100 noikeee 160 scheivlak 82 GTA 267 thegforcemaybewi 50 fisichella_2001 98 thequadge 159 thegforcemaybewi 82 thegforcemaybewi266 * Forecast 50 M2000-5 98 Kev00 158 Barty 80 noikeee 265 sladealonso 47 Grayson 92 M2000-5 158 Grayson 80 mark f1 260 * Current 43 Kev00 92 Makarias 153 mark f1 80 * Forecast 253 wattoroos 40 Bleu 89 * Potential 150 M2000-5 78 DutchQuicksilver253 Costaz 36 KWSN-DSM 85 Barty 150 GTA 77 KWSN-DSM 249 Marklar 35 thegforcemaybewi 85 Grayson 150 Bleu 74 M2000-5 248 scheivlak 35 Costaz 80 KWSN-DSM 150 wattoroos 71 thequadge 243 Anderis 30 wattoroos 80 mark f1 150 sladealonso 70 Brawn BGP 001 234 Kev00 26 f1paul 78 Marklar 148 DutchQuicksilver 68 fisichella_2001 230 noikeee 23 DutchQuicksilver 76 GTA 140 noikeee 68 Bleu 226 Barty 20 Marklar 75 scheivlak 134 f1paul 62 * Current 217 Brawn BGP 001 20 noikeee 74 fisichella_2001 123 Costaz 61 Grayson 200 M2000-5 19 sladealonso 66 SpaceHorseParty 119 Kev00 57 SpaceHorseParty 189 SpaceHorseParty 17 GTA 64 Costaz 112 Marklar 50 Barty 180 f1paul 16 * Forecast 44 * Forecast 88 * Forecast 41 Costaz 170 thequadge 12 * Current 38 * Current 75 * Current 35Perez is showing strong form and should beat a few more guesses before the season is over.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- mark f1 1808,0 -1,5 Grayson 1783,8 3,5 DutchQuicksilver 1761,8 3,8 Bleu 1759,8 4,7 Kev00 1749,5 -4,3 GTA 1748,8 -2,4 thegforcemaybewithyou1745,7 -2,6 sladealonso 1741,2 -4,1 scheivlak 1732,2 -5,4 M2000-5 1731,2 0,8 fisichella_2001 1729,8 2,5 Makarias 1727,8 0,9 Barty 1727,0 -0,4 wattoroos 1722,0 -5,8 Marklar 1695,2 -5,4 KWSN-DSM 1682,5 5,1 noikeee 1681,2 -5,4 Brawn BGP 001 1674,8 -2,8 thequadge 1644,0 -0,4 f1paul 1637,3 -5,5 Costaz 1634,8 -10,6 SpaceHorseParty 1600,5 -8,0 Anderis 1550,2 -5,4Very minor changes to the forecasts is good news for mark f1.
