The standings after Britain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Brawn BGP 001 404 101 = f1paul 404 101 = fisichella_2001 404 101 = GTA 404 101 = jjcale 404 101 = Kev00 404 101 = KWSN-DSM 404 101 = M2000-5 404 101 = Makarias 404 101 = mark f1 404 101 = Marklar 404 101 = scheivlak 404 101 = SpaceHorseParty 404 101 = thequadge 404 101 15) DutchQuicksilver 403 100 16) thegforcemaybewithyou 402 99 17) Bleu 392 99There's no end to the early season excitement here as another two players drop off the peloton of flawlessness.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Norr 76,1 46,7 2 Stro 53,5 26,3 1 Gasl 42,9 26,7 0 Ricc 41,3 29,9 0 Hami 33,6 30,7 0 Ocon 33,1 23,5 0 Pere 32,5 22,4 0 Bott 28,7 22,2 0 Vers 23,7 19,0 0 Sain 23,2 16,7 0 Giov 22,7 11,8 0 Albo 20,3 15,8 0 Lecl 19,6 13,8 0 Magn 8,5 2,7 0 Vett 6,7 5,5 0 Kvya 5,4 2,9 0It is Lando who is fast becoming a problem for many.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Hamilton Verstappen Leclerc Ricciardo Norris * Potential 362 * Potential 326 * Potential 308 * Potential 295 * Potential 310 * Forecast 326 Bleu 267 thequadge 239 * Forecast 75 * Forecast 131 Makarias 282 Marklar 255 fisichella_2001 193 f1paul 66 M2000-5 74 thegforcemaybewi280 M2000-5 229 Makarias 187 thequadge 63 Brawn BGP 001 60 GTA 278 Brawn BGP 001 226 thegforcemaybewi181 SpaceHorseParty 60 f1paul 56 jjcale 276 f1paul 222 Bleu 177 Brawn BGP 001 58 scheivlak 54 Brawn BGP 001 275 thequadge 220 DutchQuicksilver171 scheivlak 56 Bleu 52 M2000-5 275 GTA 218 Brawn BGP 001 170 KWSN-DSM 53 SpaceHorseParty 51 DutchQuicksilver273 scheivlak 215 mark f1 170 fisichella_2001 50 KWSN-DSM 50 KWSN-DSM 271 fisichella_2001 213 GTA 164 Makarias 48 fisichella_2001 44 SpaceHorseParty 261 DutchQuicksilver209 scheivlak 164 mark f1 48 Kev00 44 scheivlak 256 mark f1 205 jjcale 158 Marklar 46 GTA 41 Bleu 252 SpaceHorseParty 205 Kev00 156 M2000-5 45 mark f1 41 Kev00 252 Makarias 203 Marklar 154 Bleu 42 thequadge 41 Marklar 250 Kev00 198 f1paul 151 thegforcemaybewi 42 Makarias 37 fisichella_2001 249 thegforcemaybewi198 M2000-5 151 DutchQuicksilver 40 jjcale 35 mark f1 249 * Forecast 191 KWSN-DSM 149 GTA 40 Marklar 35 f1paul 214 jjcale 190 SpaceHorseParty 128 Kev00 36 * Current 35 thequadge 212 KWSN-DSM 185 * Forecast 124 jjcale 31 DutchQuicksilver 34 * Current 87 * Current 51 * Current 33 * Current 20 thegforcemaybewi 33Norris and Hamilton looking very strong for 100% surprises, Ricciardo also looking fine.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Ocon Gasly Albon Stroll Vettel * Potential 287 * Potential 287 * Potential 301 * Potential 295 * Potential 285 f1paul 50 * Forecast 45 SpaceHorseParty 164 * Forecast 75 thegforcemaybewi181 * Forecast 45 scheivlak 44 f1paul 162 SpaceHorseParty 75 fisichella_2001 172 Brawn BGP 001 44 thegforcemaybewi 41 Marklar 152 jjcale 69 Makarias 170 KWSN-DSM 43 Kev00 34 KWSN-DSM 139 Kev00 57 thequadge 169 scheivlak 43 KWSN-DSM 34 M2000-5 138 M2000-5 47 mark f1 167 thequadge 43 jjcale 32 GTA 136 KWSN-DSM 45 f1paul 164 SpaceHorseParty 42 mark f1 31 Makarias 130 GTA 44 DutchQuicksilver161 mark f1 41 GTA 30 Bleu 126 mark f1 37 Marklar 159 Marklar 39 fisichella_2001 28 mark f1 126 thegforcemaybewi 34 Bleu 153 fisichella_2001 38 SpaceHorseParty 28 Kev00 124 scheivlak 32 GTA 153 DutchQuicksilver 37 thequadge 28 fisichella_2001 119 Brawn BGP 001 30 KWSN-DSM 150 Bleu 33 DutchQuicksilver 27 Brawn BGP 001 117 DutchQuicksilver 29 Brawn BGP 001 144 M2000-5 33 Brawn BGP 001 24 DutchQuicksilver116 fisichella_2001 27 jjcale 142 Kev00 29 M2000-5 22 scheivlak 112 Makarias 27 Kev00 137 Makarias 29 f1paul 20 thequadge 112 f1paul 26 M2000-5 125 jjcale 26 Makarias 20 thegforcemaybewi109 Marklar 26 scheivlak 121 thegforcemaybewi 26 Marklar 20 jjcale 100 thequadge 23 SpaceHorseParty 71 GTA 20 Bleu 12 * Forecast 98 * Current 20 * Forecast 38 * Current 12 * Current 12 * Current 26 Bleu 8 * Current 10Albon isn't on pace to beat a single guess so far which is very concerning, not to mention Vettel...
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the 70th anniversary GP. Soon!
