9 replies to this topic

[thegforcemaybewithyou]

The 2020 standings

Portugal

Please note that you have to spend between 3 and 7 credits on every single bet.
Bets with more than 7 credits will be reduced to 7.

The odds are now based on the 2020 race results only with Gasly's first place result not included in the calculations, i changed it into an 8th place.


Bets for this round can be placed on

- Bottas
- Gasly


The spreadsheet with the odds: https://docs.google....XTf-O5PILSGS14/
Please bookmark the spreadsheet for times when the board is offline and send your entry to "thegforcembwu at gmail dot com".
Please notify me via the board later if you've sent your entry that way.

!At different stages (R1, R2, R5) every player gets 10 additional credits he can spend on one WDC and one WCC bet!
The minimum value is 3 credits per bet, the maximum 7.


The rules:

Spoiler

- You receive 10 credits for every round and you cannot transfer credits to the next round(s)

- You have to place exactly two bets with those 10 credits each round (minimum 3 credits each bet, maximum 7 credits, only integer values allowed)

- The two bets have to be for different drivers

- The deadline to submit/edit your bets is the start of FP1

- For races 1, 2, 5 and 10 there is one WDC and one WCC bet to submit, the same limitations apply for the min and max bet values



You can bet on:

- Driver finishes in Position x or better (Table "Bet Px or better")

- Driver finishes in Position x or worse (Table "Bet Px or worse")

- Driver finishes in Position x (Table "Bet Px exactly")

- Driver does not finish the race (Table "Bet DNF?")

- Driver scores a result (Table "Bet DNF?")

- [Who wins the WDC and WCC? (Tab "WDC/WCC" or see the tables below) at certain points in the game]




The format of your bet should look like this:


4 Hamilton 2
and means 4 credits on Hamilton to finish in P2 at odd 4,18 currently

or

6 Alonso 8worse
and means 6 credits on Alonso to finish in P8 or worse at odd 1,35
(driver has to be classified according to FIA for the bet to be won)

or

5 Hamilton 3better
and means 5 credits on Hamilton to finish in P3 or better at odd 1,27

or

3 Alonso DNF
and means 3 credits on Alonso to not finish the race according to FIA (or being disqualified or not starting the race)

or

7 Hamilton Class
and means 7 credits on Hamilton to be classified according to FIA

or

5 Hamilton WDC
for 5 credits on Hamilton to win the WDC

or

5 Ferrari WCC
for 5 credits on Ferrari to win the WCC

Portugal Odds

Odds				1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Bet Px or better	BOT	4,65	2,01	1,39	1,17	1,07	1,03	1,01	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
			GAS	1000	1000	173,88	43,8	15,27	6,64	3,44	2,08	1,46	1,17	1,05	1,01	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Bet Px or worse		BOT	1	1,27	1,99	3,54	7,02	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
			GAS	1	1	1	1,01	1,02	1,07	1,18	1,41	1,92	3,17	6,8	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Bet Px exactly		BOT	4,65	3,55	4,53	7,14	12,99	26,47	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
			GAS	1000	1000	202,63	58,56	23,44	11,76	7,15	5,28	4,89	5,93	10,1	26,17	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Bet DNF?		BOT	10,00	1,10																		
			GAS	10,00	1,11

Some stats:

Driver		Last 5 Results sorted 2020
Bottas		1	2	2	5	-
Gasly		1	6	8	9	-

Range 2020	10%	90%
Bottas		1	6
Gasly		5	12									

My bets for Portugal:

5 Bottas 3
5 Gasly 10worse

[M2000-5]

7 Bottas 2
3 Gasly 9

[Anderis]

7 Bottas 3better

3 Gasly 3better

[Makarias]

7 Bottas 2

3 Gasly 9worse

[KWSN - DSM]

5 - Bottas DNF
5 - Gasly 7better

[scheivlak]

6 Bottas 3

4 Gasly 8worse

[mark f1]

6 Bottas 2exact

4 Gasly 9worse

[Brawn BGP 001]

6 Bottas 3

4 Gasly 9

[SpaceHorseParty]

7 Bottas 2

3 Gasly 9better

[Marklar]

Jesus, Bottas has just no good option to bet on

3 Bottas DNF
7 Gasly 12worse