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2020 Odd(s) Choice - Portugal


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#1 thegforcemaybewithyou

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Posted 13 October 2020 - 16:50

The 2020 standings

Portugal

Please note that you have to spend between 3 and 7 credits on every single bet.
Bets with more than 7 credits will be reduced to 7.

The odds are now based on the 2020 race results only with Gasly's first place result not included in the calculations, i changed it into an 8th place.


Bets for this round can be placed on

- Bottas
- Gasly


The spreadsheet with the odds: https://docs.google....XTf-O5PILSGS14/
Please bookmark the spreadsheet for times when the board is offline and send your entry to "thegforcembwu at gmail dot com".
Please notify me via the board later if you've sent your entry that way.

!At different stages (R1, R2, R5) every player gets 10 additional credits he can spend on one WDC and one WCC bet!
The minimum value is 3 credits per bet, the maximum 7.



The rules:
Spoiler


Portugal Odds
Odds				1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20
Bet Px or better	BOT	4,65	2,01	1,39	1,17	1,07	1,03	1,01	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
			GAS	1000	1000	173,88	43,8	15,27	6,64	3,44	2,08	1,46	1,17	1,05	1,01	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Bet Px or worse		BOT	1	1,27	1,99	3,54	7,02	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
			GAS	1	1	1	1,01	1,02	1,07	1,18	1,41	1,92	3,17	6,8	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Bet Px exactly		BOT	4,65	3,55	4,53	7,14	12,99	26,47	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
			GAS	1000	1000	202,63	58,56	23,44	11,76	7,15	5,28	4,89	5,93	10,1	26,17	30	30	30	30	30	30	30	30
Bet DNF?		BOT	10,00	1,10																		
			GAS	10,00	1,11

Some stats:
Driver		Last 5 Results sorted 2020
Bottas		1	2	2	5	-
Gasly		1	6	8	9	-

Range 2020	10%	90%
Bottas		1	6
Gasly		5	12									

My bets for Portugal:

5 Bottas 3
5 Gasly 10worse

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#2 M2000-5

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Posted 13 October 2020 - 21:03

7 Bottas 2
3 Gasly 9

#3 Anderis

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Posted 15 October 2020 - 11:03

7 Bottas 3better

3 Gasly 3better



#4 Makarias

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Posted 21 October 2020 - 11:26

7 Bottas 2

3 Gasly 9worse



#5 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 21 October 2020 - 13:35

5 - Bottas DNF
5 - Gasly 7better



#6 scheivlak

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Posted 21 October 2020 - 14:17

6 Bottas 3

4 Gasly 8worse



#7 mark f1

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Posted 21 October 2020 - 20:48

6 Bottas 2exact

4 Gasly 9worse



#8 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 23 October 2020 - 01:13

6 Bottas 3

4 Gasly 9



#9 SpaceHorseParty

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Posted 23 October 2020 - 04:43

7 Bottas 2

3 Gasly 9better



#10 Marklar

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Posted 23 October 2020 - 09:48

Jesus, Bottas has just no good option to bet on

3 Bottas DNF
7 Gasly 12worse