The standings after Miami:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 505 101 = Bleu 505 101 = Brawn BGP 001 505 101 = DutchQuicksilver 505 101 = GTA 505 101 = KWSN-DSM 505 101 = LB 505 101 = LolaB0860 505 101 = M2000-5 505 101 = Makarias 505 101 = noikeee 505 101 = scheivlak 505 101 = SpaceHorseParty 505 101 14) mark f1 502 101
After the Azerbaijan excitement we're back to yet another all 101-er round.
The entries, with scaling adjustments
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Alon 52,5 35,8 0 Stro 42,7 21,7 1 Pere 34,5 29,9 0 Hülk 26,8 14,0 0 Vers 26,8 21,9 0 Hami 21,3 17,8 0 Sain 16,8 13,7 0 Russ 14,8 12,1 0 Tsun 14,7 8,7 0 Norr 13,3 9,0 0 Gasl 12,7 8,7 0 Zhou 11,6 6,5 0 Pias 9,4 5,6 0 Bott 9,3 6,6 0 Lecl 9,2 7,6 0 Albo 8,5 2,0 0 Magn 8,1 3,9 0 Ocon 7,5 5,4 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Perez Alonso Russell Sainz * Potential 561 * Potential 546 * Potential 522 * Potential 484 * Potential 490 * Forecast 511 * Forecast 442 * Forecast 331 mark f1 280 GTA 290 LolaB0860 505 Makarias 320 GTA 200 SpaceHorseParty 270 M2000-5 270 noikeee 468 noikeee 318 KWSN-DSM 196 Makarias 258 mark f1 270 M2000-5 448 M2000-5 295 noikeee 192 LolaB0860 240 DutchQuicksilver258 Makarias 436 SpaceHorseParty 290 Brawn BGP 001 144 M2000-5 239 Anderis 252 DutchQuicksilver423 Anderis 288 Bleu 140 DutchQuicksilver238 Bleu 252 Anderis 422 DutchQuicksilver286 LB 135 Bleu 225 Makarias 244 KWSN-DSM 414 LolaB0860 280 scheivlak 135 LB 225 KWSN-DSM 240 Brawn BGP 001 400 LB 271 M2000-5 127 Brawn BGP 001 224 scheivlak 232 SpaceHorseParty 400 mark f1 270 DutchQuicksilver122 scheivlak 223 SpaceHorseParty 230 scheivlak 395 KWSN-DSM 269 Anderis 114 Anderis 215 LB 225 GTA 390 scheivlak 268 LolaB0860 110 noikeee 208 noikeee 211 LB 381 GTA 265 SpaceHorseParty 110 KWSN-DSM 201 Brawn BGP 001 187 mark f1 380 Brawn BGP 001 238 Makarias 104 GTA 170 * Forecast 184 Bleu 343 Bleu 237 mark f1 90 * Forecast 156 LolaB0860 180 * Current 111 * Current 96 * Current 72 * Current 34 * Current 40
Only nine more third place finishes to go for Alonso to get to a 100% surprise.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Hamilton Leclerc Gasly Ocon Magnussen * Potential 504 * Potential 477 * Potential 458 * Potential 456 * Potential 452 Brawn BGP 001 302 GTA 353 Anderis 91 LolaB0860 110 SpaceHorseParty 50 mark f1 290 Brawn BGP 001 332 GTA 80 GTA 95 Bleu 35 SpaceHorseParty 285 mark f1 330 KWSN-DSM 78 Brawn BGP 001 94 LolaB0860 35 Makarias 271 LB 306 DutchQuicksilver 72 Anderis 92 DutchQuicksilver 26 LB 270 scheivlak 305 Brawn BGP 001 70 DutchQuicksilver 91 LB 26 Bleu 257 M2000-5 302 LolaB0860 65 Makarias 85 scheivlak 26 scheivlak 253 DutchQuicksilver301 noikeee 64 LB 80 KWSN-DSM 24 DutchQuicksilver251 Anderis 293 Bleu 62 mark f1 80 noikeee 22 * Forecast 248 Bleu 291 mark f1 60 scheivlak 80 Anderis 20 LolaB0860 245 SpaceHorseParty 290 LB 58 noikeee 74 Brawn BGP 001 20 M2000-5 244 Makarias 284 scheivlak 58 KWSN-DSM 73 GTA 20 noikeee 235 KWSN-DSM 245 Makarias 54 Bleu 68 Makarias 19 Anderis 225 noikeee 241 SpaceHorseParty 45 SpaceHorseParty 65 mark f1 12 GTA 210 LolaB0860 230 * Forecast 37 M2000-5 31 M2000-5 11 KWSN-DSM 205 * Forecast 124 M2000-5 25 * Forecast 28 * Forecast 9 * Current 54 * Current 27 * Current 8 * Current 6 * Current 2
Forecasts for any driver outside the big four teams don't look all that great.
The PTPC forecast
First forecast of the season! Drum roll...
Name Forecast +/- noikeee 1979,4 56,4 LolaB0860 1863,4 48,2 M2000-5 1849,6 31,1 GTA 1825,0 53,0 Makarias 1818,4 30,7 KWSN-DSM 1790,0 40,3 DutchQuicksilver 1778,2 40,5 SpaceHorseParty 1768,8 35,1 Anderis 1763,0 40,3 scheivlak 1757,4 35,7 Brawn BGP 001 1746,2 26,5 LB 1745,4 25,7 Bleu 1708,0 24,8 mark f1 1666,2 26,5Interesting!
Edited by Makarias, 09 May 2023 - 21:18.