The standings after Monaco:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 606 101 = Bleu 606 101 = Brawn BGP 001 606 101 = DutchQuicksilver 606 101 = GTA 606 101 = KWSN-DSM 606 101 = LB 606 101 = LolaB0860 606 101 = M2000-5 606 101 = Makarias 606 101 = noikeee 606 101 = scheivlak 606 101 = SpaceHorseParty 606 101 14) mark f1 598 97Fun times are coming as mark f1 starts missing points from Alonso!
The entries
Entries rescaled for 22 races in the revised results post
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Alon 68,7 46,9 1 Stro 44,6 22,6 1 Pere 36,1 31,3 0 Vers 34,3 28,1 0 Hülk 28,3 14,6 0 Ocon 27,5 19,8 0 Hami 27,3 22,8 0 Gasl 23,2 15,9 0 Russ 20,0 16,4 0 Sain 19,3 15,8 0 Norr 16,7 11,3 0 Tsun 15,6 9,1 0 Lecl 12,5 10,3 0 Pias 12,3 7,2 0 Zhou 12,0 6,7 0 Bott 9,7 6,9 0 Albo 8,8 2,1 0 Magn 8,5 4,1 0
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Alonso Ocon Hamilton Russell * Potential 536 * Potential 490 * Potential 421 * Potential 466 * Potential 444 * Forecast 499 * Forecast 330 LolaB0860 105 Brawn BGP 001 289 mark f1 268 LolaB0860 483 GTA 191 GTA 91 mark f1 277 SpaceHorseParty 258 noikeee 448 KWSN-DSM 187 Brawn BGP 001 90 SpaceHorseParty 273 Makarias 247 M2000-5 429 noikeee 184 Anderis 88 LB 259 LolaB0860 230 Makarias 417 Brawn BGP 001 138 DutchQuicksilver 87 Makarias 259 M2000-5 229 DutchQuicksilver405 Bleu 134 Makarias 81 Bleu 246 DutchQuicksilver228 Anderis 404 LB 129 LB 77 scheivlak 242 Bleu 215 KWSN-DSM 396 scheivlak 129 mark f1 77 * Forecast 242 LB 215 Brawn BGP 001 383 M2000-5 121 scheivlak 77 DutchQuicksilver240 Brawn BGP 001 214 SpaceHorseParty 383 DutchQuicksilver117 * Forecast 77 LolaB0860 234 scheivlak 213 scheivlak 378 Anderis 109 noikeee 71 M2000-5 233 Anderis 206 GTA 373 LolaB0860 105 KWSN-DSM 70 noikeee 225 noikeee 199 LB 364 SpaceHorseParty 105 Bleu 65 Anderis 215 KWSN-DSM 192 mark f1 363 Makarias 99 SpaceHorseParty 62 GTA 201 GTA 163 Bleu 328 * Current 90 M2000-5 30 KWSN-DSM 197 * Forecast 161 * Current 136 mark f1 86 * Current 21 * Current 66 * Current 44Next one up for Alonso beat is Makarias. A bit of fun for everyone! Ocon took a big step towards beating M2000-5 in the future.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Leclerc Gasly Sainz Norris Piastri * Potential 435 * Potential 414 * Potential 444 * Potential 412 * Potential 405 GTA 338 Anderis 87 GTA 277 LB 105 Bleu 68 Brawn BGP 001 317 GTA 76 M2000-5 258 Bleu 98 LolaB0860 67 mark f1 316 KWSN-DSM 75 mark f1 258 M2000-5 89 Anderis 57 LB 292 DutchQuicksilver 69 DutchQuicksilver247 LolaB0860 86 Brawn BGP 001 53 scheivlak 292 Brawn BGP 001 67 Anderis 241 mark f1 86 KWSN-DSM 47 M2000-5 289 LolaB0860 62 Bleu 241 KWSN-DSM 84 scheivlak 46 DutchQuicksilver288 noikeee 61 Makarias 233 Brawn BGP 001 82 LB 43 Anderis 280 Bleu 59 KWSN-DSM 229 scheivlak 78 mark f1 38 Bleu 278 mark f1 57 scheivlak 222 DutchQuicksilver 71 DutchQuicksilver 36 SpaceHorseParty 277 LB 56 SpaceHorseParty 220 Anderis 69 M2000-5 33 Makarias 272 scheivlak 56 LB 215 Makarias 49 Makarias 27 KWSN-DSM 234 Makarias 52 noikeee 202 GTA 48 noikeee 20 noikeee 230 * Forecast 51 Brawn BGP 001 179 * Forecast 44 SpaceHorseParty 18 LolaB0860 220 SpaceHorseParty 43 LolaB0860 172 SpaceHorseParty 38 * Forecast 18 * Forecast 128 M2000-5 24 * Forecast 161 noikeee 26 GTA 17 * Current 35 * Current 14 * Current 44 * Current 12 * Current 5A season well below expectations so far for Leclerc.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- noikeee 1934,7 40,1 LolaB0860 1848,7 67,1 Makarias 1809,0 70,4 GTA 1806,7 61,7 KWSN-DSM 1772,0 59,0 M2000-5 1771,7 3,3 DutchQuicksilver 1770,0 69,2 Anderis 1753,0 66,0 scheivlak 1751,0 70,4 Brawn BGP 001 1742,0 71,2 LB 1739,0 70,4 SpaceHorseParty 1736,0 43,8 Bleu 1688,0 54,0 mark f1 1664,7 71,9The guy who had the bunk below mine in the army had the ID number 1809. Great guy!