2023 final standings after Abu Dhabi:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) LolaB0860 1932 47 2) KWSN-DSM 1907 49 3) noikeee 1883 48 4) Anderis 1835 51 = LB 1835 48 6) scheivlak 1833 49 7) M2000-5 1827 52 8) Brawn BGP 001 1825 35 9) GTA 1823 45 10) Bleu 1812 39 11) DutchQuicksilver 1806 48 12) Makarias 1783 49 13) mark f1 1741 51 14) SpaceHorseParty 1735 47Congratulations to 2023 champion LolaB3860
for a clear win!Congratulations also to runner-up KWSN-DSM
and to defending third place finisher noikeee
!The most exciting battle remaining was big tussle for fourth place, which ended up in a draw. Brawn dropped from fourth to eighth.
All 14 players will score points in the 2022 Supercup.
The entries
Entries rescaled for 22 races in the revised results post
PTPC Hall of Fame
Year WDC Game Pl Winner AD Points Win % # 2000 442 365 82.58 14 jack and gilles 2001 442 364 82.35 69 MrT, tacololo 2002 442 376 85.07 46 smarty 2003 624 537 86.06 41 arcsine 2004 702 554 78.98 48 Pioneer 2005 741 595 80.30 49 KWSN-DSM 2006 702 592 84.33 47 an1res 2007 663 563 84.92 40 turin 2008 702 597 85.04 39 AcuraF1 2009 731 518 70.86 29 D82 2010 1919 1674 87.23 34 Costaz 2011 1919 1664 86.71 25 Crazy Canuck 2012 2020 1706 84.46 28 Costaz 2013 1919 1656 86.29 27 scheivlak 2014 1919 1602 83.48 30 noikeee 2015 1919 1710 89.11* 25 mark f1 2016 2121 1751 82.56 25 Brawn BGP 001 2017 2020 1861 92.13 22 Kev00 2018 2121 1943 91.61 25 thegforcemaybewithyou 2019 2121 1791 84.44 23 mark f1 2020 1717 1455 84.74 17 SpaceHorseParty 2021 2222 1972 88.75 18 M2000-5 2022 2222 1963 88.34 15 Anderis 2023 2222 1932 86.95 14 LolaB0860*2020 points in the guesses
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Laws INF,8 200,0 14 Ricc INF,8 600,0 14 Norr 253,9 172,6 14 Albo 218,8 52,1 13 Pias 198,9 117,4 14 Alon 150,4 102,6 14 Vers 131,3 107,6 14 Stro 116,7 59,1 11 Tsun 101,1 59,1 7 Pere 97,0 84,0 4 Gasl 89,6 61,4 3 Hami 88,0 73,4 2 Sain 78,0 64,0 1 Ocon 73,2 52,8 1 Russ 71,0 58,0 0 Lecl 66,0 54,6 0 Sarg 37,8 10,0 1 Zhou 36,1 20,0 1 Hülk 28,3 14,6 0 Bott 24,2 17,2 0 Magn 12,7 6,1 0Fernando Alonso becomes the sixth 100% surprise of the season! Yuki Tsunoda beats his expectations!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2023 this is 14.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Leclerc Russell Perez Norris * Potential 521 GTA 338 mark f1 268 Makarias 306 * Potential 183 * Forecast 521 Brawn BGP 001 317 SpaceHorseParty 258 noikeee 304 * Forecast 183 * Current 521 mark f1 316 Makarias 247 M2000-5 282 * Current 183 LolaB0860 483 LB 292 LolaB0860 230 SpaceHorseParty 277 LB 105 noikeee 448 scheivlak 292 M2000-5 229 Anderis 276 Bleu 98 M2000-5 429 M2000-5 289 DutchQuicksilver228 DutchQuicksilver273 M2000-5 89 Makarias 417 DutchQuicksilver288 Bleu 215 LolaB0860 268 LolaB0860 86 DutchQuicksilver405 Anderis 280 LB 215 LB 259 mark f1 86 Anderis 404 Bleu 278 Brawn BGP 001 214 * Potential 258 KWSN-DSM 84 KWSN-DSM 396 SpaceHorseParty 277 scheivlak 213 KWSN-DSM 258 Brawn BGP 001 82 Brawn BGP 001 383 Makarias 272 Anderis 206 mark f1 258 scheivlak 78 SpaceHorseParty 383 KWSN-DSM 234 noikeee 199 * Forecast 258 DutchQuicksilver 71 scheivlak 378 noikeee 230 KWSN-DSM 192 * Current 258 Anderis 69 GTA 373 LolaB0860 220 GTA 163 scheivlak 256 Makarias 49 LB 364 * Potential 185 * Potential 156 GTA 253 GTA 48 mark f1 363 * Forecast 185 * Forecast 156 Brawn BGP 001 228 SpaceHorseParty 38 Bleu 328 * Current 185 * Current 156 Bleu 227 noikeee 26Put points in good places and not in bad places. The top three all placed little on the Ferraris this year.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Piastri Alonso Tsunoda Hamilton Stroll * Potential 81 * Potential 197 GTA 21 Brawn BGP 001 289 noikeee 114 * Forecast 81 * Forecast 197 KWSN-DSM 19 mark f1 277 M2000-5 87 * Current 81 * Current 197 mark f1 19 SpaceHorseParty 273 GTA 86 Bleu 68 GTA 191 Bleu 17 LB 259 * Potential 68 LolaB0860 67 KWSN-DSM 187 M2000-5 17 Makarias 259 * Forecast 68 Anderis 57 noikeee 184 scheivlak 17 Bleu 246 * Current 68 Brawn BGP 001 53 Brawn BGP 001 138 * Potential 13 scheivlak 242 Bleu 65 KWSN-DSM 47 Bleu 134 Anderis 13 DutchQuicksilver240 SpaceHorseParty 58 scheivlak 46 LB 129 * Forecast 13 LolaB0860 234 LolaB0860 57 LB 43 scheivlak 129 * Current 13 M2000-5 233 Brawn BGP 001 55 mark f1 38 M2000-5 121 Makarias 11 noikeee 225 Anderis 49 DutchQuicksilver 36 DutchQuicksilver117 DutchQuicksilver 10 Anderis 215 LB 48 M2000-5 33 Anderis 109 LB 10 * Potential 213 scheivlak 48 Makarias 27 LolaB0860 105 noikeee 9 * Forecast 213 Makarias 47 noikeee 20 SpaceHorseParty 105 Brawn BGP 001 8 * Current 213 KWSN-DSM 45 SpaceHorseParty 18 Makarias 99 LolaB0860 5 GTA 201 DutchQuicksilver 35 GTA 17 mark f1 86 SpaceHorseParty 4 KWSN-DSM 197 mark f1 22With hindsight my own Piastri guess feels pretty dumb, but it's easy to forget how weak McLaren looked early in the season.
The PTPC forecast after Las Vegas
Name Forecast +/- LolaB0860 1927,9 13,3 KWSN-DSM 1901,0 15,5 noikeee 1889,5 20,8 LB 1838,2 15,1 scheivlak 1833,5 13,4 Anderis 1829,8 16,8 M2000-5 1824,7 12,4 Brawn BGP 001 1822,2 9,7 GTA 1818,2 20,7 Bleu 1813,1 11,4 DutchQuicksilver 1809,8 12,4 Makarias 1783,2 15,2 mark f1 1741,5 15,0 SpaceHorseParty 1736,8 15,6
The best guesses on each driver
X ---> <---Y Vers 521 483 LolaB0860 Pere 258 258 KWSN-DSM, mark f1 Hami 213 215 Anderis Alon 197 191 GTA Lecl 185 220 Lola B0860 Norr 183 105 LB Sain 178 179 Brawn BGP 001 Russ 156 163 GTA Pias 81 68 Bleu Stro 68 65 Bleu Gasl 54 56 LB, scheivlak; 52: Makarias Ocon 56 62 SpaceHorseParty Albo 25 17 scheivlak Tsun 13 13 Anderis Bott 10 22 GTA Hülk 6 12 M2000-5 Ricc 6 0 Everyone Zhou 6 5 mark f1 Magn 3 11 M2000-5 Laws 2 0 Everyone Sarg 1 1 DutchQuicksilver, M2000-5, Makarias, noikeee deVr 0 4 Brawn BGP 001, GTAIf you can't win the title it's a nice consolation price to be an expert on some particular driver.
Note that FL and quali race points don't count in this game.
Reality check on some of our predictions
Popularity Poll WCC prediction:
Team Pred Result RBR 663 +116 Ferr 508 -145 Merc 462 - 93 Asto 189 + 76 Alpi 137 - 27 McLa 113 +151 Alfa 58 - 42 Haas 45 - 36 ATau 33 - 12 Will 14 + 12McLaren has been one of the trickiest teams to predict for a couple of years now.
Teammate battles: Which driver is expected to outscore his teammate?
Owner Owned Comment <- = -> Albo 14 0 0 Sarg Correct Alon 14 0 0 Stro Correct Bott 14 0 0 Zhou Correct Hami 14 0 0 Russ Correct Lecl 14 0 0 Sain Correct Norr 14 0 0 Pias Correct Vers 14 0 0 Pere Correct Ocon 13 0 1 Gasl Correct* deVr 11 1 2 Tsun Wrong Magn 9 0 5 Hülk Wrong*Ocon barely outscored Gasly in the points that count in this game. In the actual WDC, Gasly ended up ahead of Ocon thanks to Sprint points. Close battle in either case!
Leclerc only moved ahead of Sainz at Abu Dhabi, so that one was much closer than our guesses suggest.
When I tell you to have a nice off-season, a merry christmas and a happy new year it's not me bossing you around, it is merely a suggestion. Do with it as you see fit!
