Welcome to the 2024 Guess the Pole season!
No major regulation upsets presumably means that pole laps will overall be comparable to last year, but faster.
As usual, the season opener is scored as a modified layout, with doubled time spans.
China and Emilia-Romagna will be scored as modified circuits too based on not having been run last year.
If you know of any circuits having been modified since last year, please notify me as I am clueless about these things!
How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.
Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.
Scoring rules
-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.
-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:
<-----------Time offsets-----------> Pts Default Modified Layout New Track [s] 25 - 0.100 - 0.200 - 0.300 18 - 0.200 - 0.400 - 0.600 15 - 0.400 - 0.800 - 1.200 12 - 0.600 - 1.200 - 1.800 10 - 0.800 - 1.600 - 2.400 8 - 1.000 - 2.000 - 3.000 6 - 1.200 - 2.400 - 3.600 4 - 1.500 - 3.000 - 4.500 2 - 1.800 - 3.600 - 5.400 1 - 2.500 - 5.000 - 7.500The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.
-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts Recent qualifying results 18 0 front row starts in the previous five races 13 1 front row start in the previous five races 9 2 front row starts in the previous five races 6 3 front row starts in the previous five races 4 4 front row starts in the previous five races 3 5 front row starts in the previous five races
2023 final standings
Five latest poles at Bahrain: Year Driver Pole time (s) 2023 Verstappen 89.708 2022 Leclerc 90.558 2021 Verstappen 88.997 2020 Hamilton 87.264 2019 Leclerc 87.866 Late 2023 front rows: GP Pole #2 USA Lecl Norr MEX Lecl Sain BRA Vers Lecl LVE Lecl Vers ABU Vers Lecl Driver values: Dri val Lecl 3 Vers 6 Norr 13 Sain 13 REST 18 2023 data: Time 2022 PP 2021 PP 2020 PP 2023/2022 2023/2021 2023/2020 GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%) BAH 0 89.708 90.558 88.997 SAU 0 88.265 88.200 87.511 OZ 0 76.732 77.868 ------ ------ JPN 0 88.877 89.304 ------ ------ CHN 0 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ MIA 0 86.841 88.796 ------ ------ EMI 0 ------ 87.999 74.411 ------ MON 0 71.365 71.376 70.346 CAN 0 85.858 81.399 ------ ------ ESP 0 72.272 78.750 76.741 AUT 0 64.391 64.984 63.720 GB 0 86.720 100.983 86.134 HUN 0 76.609 77.377 75.419 BEL 0 106.988 104.297 119.765 NED 0 70.567 70.342 68.885 ITA 0 80.294 80.161 79.651 AZE 0 100.203 101.359 101.218 SIN 0 90.984 109.412 ------ ------ USA 0 94.723 94.356 92.910 MEX 0 77.166 77.775 75.875 BRA 0 70.727 71.674 68.372 LVE 0 92.726 ------ ------ ------ ------ QAT 0 83.778 ------ 80.827 ------ ABU 0 83.445 83.824 82.109 2023 data: Time 2022 PP 2021 PP 2020 PP 2023/2022 2023/2021 2023/2020 GP Pole #2 (s) (s) (s) (s) (%) (%) (%) BAH Vers Pere 89.708 90.558 88.997 87.264 99.061 100.799 102.801 SAU Pere Alon 88.265 88.200 87.511 ------ 100.074 100.862 ------ OZ Vers Russ 76.732 77.868 ------ ------ 98.541 ------ ------ AZE Lecl Vers 100.203 101.359 101.218 ------ 98.859 98.997 ------ MIA Pere Alon 86.841 88.796 ------ ------ 97.798 ------ ------ EMI ---- ---- ------ 87.999 74.411 73.609 ------ ------ ------ MON Vers Alon 71.365 71.376 70.346 ------ 99.985 101.449 ------ ESP Vers Sain 72.272 78.750 76.741 75.584 91.774 94.177 95.618 CAN Vers Hülk 85.858 81.399 ------ ------ 105.478 ------ ------ AUT Vers Lecl 64.391 64.984 63.720 62.939 99.087 101.053 102.307 GB Vers Norr 86.720 100.983 86.134 84.303 85.876 100.680 102.867 HUN Hami Vers 76.609 77.377 75.419 73.447 99.007 101.578 104.305 BEL Lecl Pere 106.988 104.297 119.765 101.252 102.580 89.332 105.665 NED Vers Norr 70.567 70.342 68.885 ------ 100.320 102.442 ------ ITA Sain Vers 80.294 80.161 79.651 78.887 100.166 100.807 101.784 SIN Sain Russ 90.984 109.412 ------ ------ 83.157 ------ ------ JPN Vers Pias 88.877 89.304 ------ ------ 99.522 ------ ------ QAT Vers Russ 83.778 ------ 80.827 ------ ------ 103.651 ------ USA Lecl Norr 94.723 94.356 92.910 ------ 100.389 101.951 ------ MEX Lecl Sain 77.166 77.775 75.875 ------ 99.217 101.701 ------ BRA Vers Lecl 70.727 71.674 68.372 ------ 98.679 103.444 ------ LVE Lecl Vers 92.726 ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ABU Vers Lecl 83.445 83.824 82.109 95.246 99.548 101.627 87.610My guess for Bahrain is 89.105 s by Max Verstappen.