The standings after Saudi Arabia:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Anderis 196 95 = ANF 196 95 = Benchulo 196 95 = Bleu 196 95 = Brawn BGP 001 196 95 = Costaz 196 95 = DutchQuicksilver 196 95 = GTA 196 95 = KWSN-DSM 196 95 = LB 196 95 = LolaB8060 196 95 = M2000-5 196 95 = Makarias 196 95 = mark f1 196 95 = scheivlak 196 95 = sladealonso 196 95 = SpaceHorseParty 196 95 18) polesetter1 195 94All perfect scores are but a memory!
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 15,9 6,3 1 Pere 15,0 11,7 0 Vers 10,2 8,3 0 Pias 10,0 6,4 0 Lecl 9,9 7,9 0 Russ 9,4 6,8 0 Alon 8,4 5,1 0 Sain 6,8 4,7 0 Norr 5,8 4,0 0 Hami 3,8 3,2 0 Stro 1,8 0,8 0Congratulations Oliver Bearman for being the first 100% surprise of 2024! He also beat his expectations. Nico Hülkenberg is the first regular driver to beat an expectation this year.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Perez Leclerc Piastri Alonso M2000-5 600 * Potential 586 * Potential 577 * Potential 566 * Potential 562 * Forecast 600 * Forecast 432 Benchulo 341 Costaz 248 Benchulo 236 * Potential 600 LolaB8060 307 Bleu 331 ANF 239 Makarias 185 LolaB8060 590 Costaz 300 * Forecast 324 * Forecast 192 Anderis 175 SpaceHorseParty 550 DutchQuicksilver280 GTA 315 Brawn BGP 001 185 Bleu 170 Makarias 535 mark f1 280 ANF 292 LB 174 sladealonso 170 Anderis 525 KWSN-DSM 275 sladealonso 290 scheivlak 174 DutchQuicksilver156 DutchQuicksilver525 sladealonso 275 scheivlak 289 Benchulo 172 Brawn BGP 001 153 GTA 510 M2000-5 273 Brawn BGP 001 283 LolaB8060 170 KWSN-DSM 150 LB 506 Anderis 265 LB 279 polesetter1 163 SpaceHorseParty 150 sladealonso 502 Makarias 265 Anderis 274 SpaceHorseParty 160 * Forecast 144 mark f1 494 Brawn BGP 001 254 mark f1 270 KWSN-DSM 150 LB 142 scheivlak 466 SpaceHorseParty 250 Costaz 265 mark f1 150 scheivlak 142 ANF 458 scheivlak 245 KWSN-DSM 250 Bleu 148 GTA 135 Costaz 454 LB 235 DutchQuicksilver246 DutchQuicksilver138 polesetter1 132 KWSN-DSM 450 Bleu 218 Makarias 246 M2000-5 138 M2000-5 123 Brawn BGP 001 449 GTA 212 polesetter1 245 Makarias 136 LolaB8060 105 polesetter1 427 polesetter1 200 SpaceHorseParty 243 GTA 131 mark f1 100 Bleu 415 ANF 102 M2000-5 232 Anderis 115 ANF 95 Benchulo 336 Benchulo 86 LolaB8060 225 sladealonso 100 Costaz 49 * Current 50 * Current 36 * Current 27 * Current 16 * Current 12Benchulo's Red Bull guesses don't look like winners.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Russell Sainz Norris Hamilton Hülkenberg * Potential 568 * Potential 565 * Potential 562 * Potential 558 * Potential 551 polesetter1 265 polesetter1 318 Costaz 301 polesetter1 247 KWSN-DSM 15 ANF 244 Bleu 265 Brawn BGP 001 263 ANF 243 Benchulo 13 * Forecast 216 GTA 260 ANF 241 SpaceHorseParty 240 * Forecast 12 Anderis 213 Anderis 231 LB 220 mark f1 230 Brawn BGP 001 11 Bleu 207 Benchulo 229 Makarias 211 M2000-5 222 Anderis 10 mark f1 200 scheivlak 228 LolaB8060 210 Costaz 221 Bleu 10 sladealonso 200 sladealonso 225 Benchulo 209 Bleu 215 LB 8 KWSN-DSM 190 mark f1 220 GTA 205 sladealonso 215 scheivlak 8 SpaceHorseParty 190 LB 218 DutchQuicksilver201 Anderis 213 sladealonso 6 Benchulo 183 Brawn BGP 001 215 scheivlak 200 DutchQuicksilver212 DutchQuicksilver 5 DutchQuicksilver183 LolaB8060 215 Bleu 195 Makarias 210 GTA 5 LB 182 Makarias 212 polesetter1 191 GTA 207 mark f1 5 scheivlak 182 DutchQuicksilver207 mark f1 190 Benchulo 200 SpaceHorseParty 5 M2000-5 180 M2000-5 201 SpaceHorseParty 190 Brawn BGP 001 200 Costaz 4 Makarias 179 KWSN-DSM 200 M2000-5 188 KWSN-DSM 200 ANF 3 LolaB8060 172 Costaz 191 KWSN-DSM 185 LolaB8060 188 Makarias 3 Brawn BGP 001 167 SpaceHorseParty 190 Anderis 180 LB 180 LolaB8060 1 GTA 158 * Forecast 180 sladealonso 160 scheivlak 180 M2000-5 1 Costaz 156 ANF 135 * Forecast 144 * Forecast 96 * Current 1 * Current 18 * Current 15 * Current 12 * Current 8 polesetter1 0The Bearman guesses were all zero, so I kept Sainz in here. Slow start to the season for both Norris and Hamilton.
The PTPC forecast
Will appear after the Chinese GP.
