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Guess the Pole 2024: Spain


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#1 Makarias

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Posted 08 June 2024 - 21:23

How to enter: Just submit your guess for what the pole time will be, and who you think will take pole.
Grid penalties are ignored if and only if they are due to disciplinary reasons.

Deadline:
Entries are accepted only if they are submitted/edited before First Free Practice.
Entries that are edited after the beginning of First Free Practice but before I have registered the entries will be ignored.

Scoring rules

-The best ten guessers (closest to the actual pole position time) Score points F1 style, 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1.

-Precision points are given to every participant whose guess was sufficiently close to the actual pole position time according to this list:

     <-----------Time offsets----------->
Pts  Default   Modified Layout  New Track  [s]
25   - 0.100       - 0.200       - 0.300
18   - 0.200       - 0.400       - 0.600
15   - 0.400       - 0.800       - 1.200
12   - 0.600       - 1.200       - 1.800
10   - 0.800       - 1.600       - 2.400
 8   - 1.000       - 2.000       - 3.000
 6   - 1.200       - 2.400       - 3.600
 4   - 1.500       - 3.000       - 4.500
 2   - 1.800       - 3.600       - 5.400
 1   - 2.500       - 5.000       - 7.500
The first race of the season counts as a Modified Layout unless it's brand new.
A track that wasn't used the previous season also counts as a Modified Layout.
A track that hasn't been used for the previous five seasons counts as a New Track.

-Driver Points are given for correctly guessing the driver to take pole position. The amount of points given depends on the current value of the driver, according to this list:
Pts   Recent qualifying results
18     0 front row starts in the previous five races
13     1 front row start in the previous five races
 9     2 front row starts in the previous five races
 6     3 front row starts in the previous five races
 4     4 front row starts in the previous five races
 3     5 front row starts in the previous five races

2024 standings

Five latest poles at Spain:
Year  Driver       Pole time (s)
2023  Verstappen    72.272
2022  Leclerc       78.750 (Old layout)
2021  Hamilton      76.741
2020  Hamilton      75.584
2019  Bottas        75.406

Driver values:
Dri  val
Vers   4
Lecl   9
Pias   9
Pere  13
Russ  13
REST  18

2024 data:
                  Time    2023 PP  2022 PP  2021 PP  2024/2023  2024/2022  2024/2021
GP   Pole  #2      (s)      (s)      (s)      (s)       (%)        (%)        (%)
BAH  Vers  Lecl   89.179   89.708   90.558   88.997    99.410     98.477    100.205
SAU  Vers  Lecl   87.472   88.265   88.200   87.511    99.102     99.175     99.955
OZ   Vers  Sain   75.915   76.732   77.868   ------    98.935     97.492     ------
JPN  Vers  Pere   88.197   88.877   89.304   ------    99.235     98.760     ------
CHN  Vers  Pere   93.660   ------   ------   ------    ------     ------     ------
MIA  Vers  Lecl   87.241   86.841   88.796   ------   100.461     98.249     ------
EMI  Vers  Pias   74.746   ------   87.999   74.411    ------     84.940    100.450
MON  Lecl  Pias   70.270   71.365   71.376   70.346    98.466     98.450     99.892
CAN  Russ  Vers   72.000   85.858   81.399   ------    83.859     88.453     ------
ESP                    0   72.272   78.750   76.741                                
AUT                    0   64.391   64.984   63.720                                
GB                     0   86.720  100.983   86.134                                
HUN                    0   76.609   77.377   75.419                                
BEL                    0  106.988  104.297  119.765                                
NED                    0   70.567   70.342   68.885                                
ITA                    0   80.294   80.161   79.651                                
AZE                    0  100.203  101.359  101.218                                
SIN                    0   90.984  109.412   ------                          ------
USA                    0   94.723   94.356   92.910                                
MEX                    0   77.166   77.775   75.875                                
BRA                    0   70.727   71.674   68.372                                
LVE                    0   92.726   ------   ------               ------     ------
QAT                    0   83.778   ------   80.827               ------           
ABU                    0   83.445   83.824   82.109                                
My guess for Spain is 71.654 s by Lando Norris.

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#2 rodlamas

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Posted 10 June 2024 - 12:44

Lando Norris 71.488

#3 KWSN - DSM

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Posted 11 June 2024 - 08:49

71.711 - Verstappen



#4 Anderis

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Posted 18 June 2024 - 20:36

71.500 Verstappen



#5 Benchulo

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Posted 19 June 2024 - 01:50

71.477 Verstappen

#6 mark f1

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Posted 19 June 2024 - 10:59

Verstappen 71.766



#7 DutchQuicksilver

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Posted 19 June 2024 - 17:10

71.473 Max Verstappen

#8 scheivlak

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Posted 19 June 2024 - 20:22

Norris 71.650



#9 brunopascal

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Posted 19 June 2024 - 21:29

Verstappen 71.250



#10 M2000-5

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Posted 20 June 2024 - 20:41

Verstappen 71.135



#11 GTA

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 00:03

71.355 Sainz



#12 Brawn BGP 001

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 02:18

71.444 Norris



#13 LB

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 02:46

71.576 verstappen



#14 alekracing

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 02:46

71.639 Norris



#15 tourister46a

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 03:38

71.666 Verstappen



#16 Bleu

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 05:54

Piastri 71,911



#17 milestone 11

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 09:44

71.555 Verstappen

#18 jimjimjeroo

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Posted 21 June 2024 - 11:25

71.652 Norris



#19 milestone 11

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Posted 22 June 2024 - 15:30

Good call Brawn, commiserations to Rod and our host, so close.