The standings after Canada:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Bleu 903 101 = Brawn BGP 001 903 101 = Costaz 903 101 = DutchQuicksilver 903 101 = GTA 903 101 = KWSN-DSM 903 101 = LB 903 101 = mark f1 903 101 = scheivlak 903 101 = sladealonso 903 101 = SpaceHorseParty 903 101 12) ANF 902 101 = Makarias 902 101 14) LolaB8060 900 101 15) M2000-5 899 101 16) Anderis 897 101 17) Benchulo 894 101 18) polesetter1 884 95
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Hülk 63,7 25,0 5 Norr 61,6 42,4 0 Pias 47,3 30,5 0 Sain 45,5 31,3 0 Lecl 45,4 36,3 0 Tsun 44,6 25,0 1 Pere 39,6 30,8 1 Vers 36,0 29,3 0 Russ 34,9 25,2 0 Stro 31,1 13,5 1 Alon 28,0 16,9 0 Magn 24,7 5,0 2 Hami 21,7 18,5 0 Gasl 8,6 4,5 0 Albo 7,5 3,5 0 Ricc 6,9 3,7 0 Ocon 6,2 3,0 0First points for Ricciardo.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Norris Russell Hamilton Piastri M2000-5 600 * Potential 503 * Potential 442 * Potential 421 * Potential 451 LolaB8060 590 * Forecast 341 polesetter1 265 polesetter1 247 Costaz 248 * Potential 551 Costaz 301 ANF 244 ANF 243 ANF 239 SpaceHorseParty 550 Brawn BGP 001 263 Anderis 213 SpaceHorseParty 240 * Forecast 203 Makarias 535 ANF 241 Bleu 207 mark f1 230 Brawn BGP 001 185 Anderis 525 LB 220 mark f1 200 M2000-5 222 LB 174 DutchQuicksilver525 Makarias 211 sladealonso 200 Costaz 221 scheivlak 174 GTA 510 LolaB8060 210 KWSN-DSM 190 Bleu 215 Benchulo 172 LB 506 Benchulo 209 SpaceHorseParty 190 sladealonso 215 LolaB8060 170 sladealonso 502 GTA 205 Benchulo 183 Anderis 213 polesetter1 163 mark f1 494 DutchQuicksilver201 DutchQuicksilver183 DutchQuicksilver212 SpaceHorseParty 160 * Forecast 469 scheivlak 200 LB 182 Makarias 210 KWSN-DSM 150 scheivlak 466 Bleu 195 scheivlak 182 GTA 207 mark f1 150 ANF 458 polesetter1 191 M2000-5 180 Benchulo 200 Bleu 148 Costaz 454 mark f1 190 Makarias 179 Brawn BGP 001 200 DutchQuicksilver138 KWSN-DSM 450 SpaceHorseParty 190 * Forecast 179 KWSN-DSM 200 M2000-5 138 Brawn BGP 001 449 M2000-5 188 LolaB8060 172 LolaB8060 188 Makarias 136 polesetter1 427 KWSN-DSM 185 Brawn BGP 001 167 LB 180 GTA 131 Bleu 415 Anderis 180 GTA 158 scheivlak 180 Anderis 115 Benchulo 336 sladealonso 160 Costaz 156 * Forecast 123 sladealonso 100 * Current 176 * Current 128 * Current 67 * Current 46 * Current 76Good trend for Mercedes.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso Stroll Ricciardo Gasly Ocon * Potential 415 * Potential 392 * Potential 379 * Potential 378 * Potential 377 Benchulo 236 Benchulo 125 ANF 107 mark f1 65 mark f1 65 Makarias 185 KWSN-DSM 75 polesetter1 104 scheivlak 52 KWSN-DSM 50 Anderis 175 Bleu 71 Benchulo 94 KWSN-DSM 50 scheivlak 49 Bleu 170 Anderis 70 Costaz 81 LolaB8060 45 LolaB8060 46 sladealonso 170 M2000-5 65 GTA 60 ANF 43 LB 39 DutchQuicksilver156 DutchQuicksilver 62 sladealonso 60 LB 42 ANF 38 Brawn BGP 001 153 GTA 62 DutchQuicksilver 59 DutchQuicksilver 41 DutchQuicksilver 37 KWSN-DSM 150 scheivlak 60 M2000-5 59 GTA 40 GTA 32 SpaceHorseParty 150 Makarias 59 LB 57 Bleu 38 Anderis 30 LB 142 sladealonso 55 scheivlak 57 Brawn BGP 001 33 Bleu 30 scheivlak 142 LB 50 SpaceHorseParty 50 Benchulo 29 Benchulo 29 GTA 135 mark f1 50 Bleu 47 sladealonso 28 M2000-5 29 polesetter1 132 SpaceHorseParty 50 Brawn BGP 001 47 M2000-5 27 Brawn BGP 001 26 M2000-5 123 LolaB8060 46 Makarias 44 Anderis 25 Costaz 25 * Forecast 107 * Forecast 45 KWSN-DSM 40 Costaz 23 sladealonso 25 LolaB8060 105 Brawn BGP 001 30 mark f1 35 Makarias 21 Makarias 18 mark f1 100 Costaz 27 LolaB8060 25 polesetter1 15 SpaceHorseParty 8 ANF 95 ANF 24 Anderis 12 SpaceHorseParty 8 polesetter1 7 Costaz 49 * Current 17 * Forecast 11 * Forecast 8 * Forecast 5 * Current 40 polesetter1 3 * Current 4 * Current 3 * Current 2Anderis looks like the best Ricciardo guesser by far.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2165,3 52,3 scheivlak 2131,3 96,3 LB 2124,7 99,7 Bleu 2094,0 83,0 GTA 2093,3 79,3 Costaz 2084,0 12,0 LolaB8060 2060,0 60,0 Makarias 2056,3 88,3 mark f1 2056,3 66,3 sladealonso 2035,3 72,3 DutchQuicksilver 2031,3 73,3 Anderis 2030,0 88,0 KWSN-DSM 2024,3 60,3 SpaceHorseParty 2022,7 99,7 M2000-5 2013,3 74,3 polesetter1 1977,7 32,7 ANF 1934,0 68,0 Benchulo 1906,7 65,7Good
