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Place The Points Competition 2024 after Canada


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#1 Makarias

Makarias
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Posted 10 June 2024 - 22:01

The standings after Canada:

Pos Name                  Tot Latest
1)  Bleu                  903 101
=   Brawn BGP 001         903 101
=   Costaz                903 101
=   DutchQuicksilver      903 101
=   GTA                   903 101
=   KWSN-DSM              903 101
=   LB                    903 101
=   mark f1               903 101
=   scheivlak             903 101
=   sladealonso           903 101
=   SpaceHorseParty       903 101
12) ANF                   902 101
=   Makarias              902 101
14) LolaB8060             900 101
15) M2000-5               899 101
16) Anderis               897 101
17) Benchulo              894 101
18) polesetter1           884  95

The entries

The Drivers' list
Driver Expect  Surprise Beat
           %        %     #
Bear    INF,8    600,0   18  
Hülk     63,7     25,0    5
Norr     61,6     42,4    0
Pias     47,3     30,5    0
Sain     45,5     31,3    0
Lecl     45,4     36,3    0
Tsun     44,6     25,0    1
Pere     39,6     30,8    1
Vers     36,0     29,3    0
Russ     34,9     25,2    0
Stro     31,1     13,5    1
Alon     28,0     16,9    0
Magn     24,7      5,0    2
Hami     21,7     18,5    0
Gasl      8,6      4,5    0
Albo      7,5      3,5    0
Ricc      6,9      3,7    0
Ocon      6,2      3,0    0
First points for Ricciardo.

EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.

Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen             Norris                 Russell                Hamilton               Piastri             
M2000-5         600    * Potential     503    * Potential     442    * Potential     421    * Potential     451
LolaB8060       590    * Forecast      341    polesetter1     265    polesetter1     247    Costaz          248
* Potential     551    Costaz          301    ANF             244    ANF             243    ANF             239
SpaceHorseParty 550    Brawn BGP 001   263    Anderis         213    SpaceHorseParty 240    * Forecast      203
Makarias        535    ANF             241    Bleu            207    mark f1         230    Brawn BGP 001   185
Anderis         525    LB              220    mark f1         200    M2000-5         222    LB              174
DutchQuicksilver525    Makarias        211    sladealonso     200    Costaz          221    scheivlak       174
GTA             510    LolaB8060       210    KWSN-DSM        190    Bleu            215    Benchulo        172
LB              506    Benchulo        209    SpaceHorseParty 190    sladealonso     215    LolaB8060       170
sladealonso     502    GTA             205    Benchulo        183    Anderis         213    polesetter1     163
mark f1         494    DutchQuicksilver201    DutchQuicksilver183    DutchQuicksilver212    SpaceHorseParty 160
* Forecast      469    scheivlak       200    LB              182    Makarias        210    KWSN-DSM        150
scheivlak       466    Bleu            195    scheivlak       182    GTA             207    mark f1         150
ANF             458    polesetter1     191    M2000-5         180    Benchulo        200    Bleu            148
Costaz          454    mark f1         190    Makarias        179    Brawn BGP 001   200    DutchQuicksilver138
KWSN-DSM        450    SpaceHorseParty 190    * Forecast      179    KWSN-DSM        200    M2000-5         138
Brawn BGP 001   449    M2000-5         188    LolaB8060       172    LolaB8060       188    Makarias        136
polesetter1     427    KWSN-DSM        185    Brawn BGP 001   167    LB              180    GTA             131
Bleu            415    Anderis         180    GTA             158    scheivlak       180    Anderis         115
Benchulo        336    sladealonso     160    Costaz          156    * Forecast      123    sladealonso     100
* Current       176    * Current       128    * Current        67    * Current        46    * Current        76
Good trend for Mercedes.

Guesses on P6-P10:
Alonso                 Stroll                 Ricciardo              Gasly                  Ocon                
* Potential     415    * Potential     392    * Potential     379    * Potential     378    * Potential     377
Benchulo        236    Benchulo        125    ANF             107    mark f1          65    mark f1          65
Makarias        185    KWSN-DSM         75    polesetter1     104    scheivlak        52    KWSN-DSM         50
Anderis         175    Bleu             71    Benchulo         94    KWSN-DSM         50    scheivlak        49
Bleu            170    Anderis          70    Costaz           81    LolaB8060        45    LolaB8060        46
sladealonso     170    M2000-5          65    GTA              60    ANF              43    LB               39
DutchQuicksilver156    DutchQuicksilver 62    sladealonso      60    LB               42    ANF              38
Brawn BGP 001   153    GTA              62    DutchQuicksilver 59    DutchQuicksilver 41    DutchQuicksilver 37
KWSN-DSM        150    scheivlak        60    M2000-5          59    GTA              40    GTA              32
SpaceHorseParty 150    Makarias         59    LB               57    Bleu             38    Anderis          30
LB              142    sladealonso      55    scheivlak        57    Brawn BGP 001    33    Bleu             30
scheivlak       142    LB               50    SpaceHorseParty  50    Benchulo         29    Benchulo         29
GTA             135    mark f1          50    Bleu             47    sladealonso      28    M2000-5          29
polesetter1     132    SpaceHorseParty  50    Brawn BGP 001    47    M2000-5          27    Brawn BGP 001    26
M2000-5         123    LolaB8060        46    Makarias         44    Anderis          25    Costaz           25
* Forecast      107    * Forecast       45    KWSN-DSM         40    Costaz           23    sladealonso      25
LolaB8060       105    Brawn BGP 001    30    mark f1          35    Makarias         21    Makarias         18
mark f1         100    Costaz           27    LolaB8060        25    polesetter1      15    SpaceHorseParty   8
ANF              95    ANF              24    Anderis          12    SpaceHorseParty   8    polesetter1       7
Costaz           49    * Current        17    * Forecast       11    * Forecast        8    * Forecast        5
* Current        40    polesetter1       3    * Current         4    * Current         3    * Current         2
Anderis looks like the best Ricciardo guesser by far.

The PTPC forecast
Name               Forecast  +/-
Brawn BGP 001        2165,3  52,3
scheivlak            2131,3  96,3
LB                   2124,7  99,7
Bleu                 2094,0  83,0
GTA                  2093,3  79,3
Costaz               2084,0  12,0
LolaB8060            2060,0  60,0
Makarias             2056,3  88,3
mark f1              2056,3  66,3
sladealonso          2035,3  72,3
DutchQuicksilver     2031,3  73,3
Anderis              2030,0  88,0
KWSN-DSM             2024,3  60,3
SpaceHorseParty      2022,7  99,7
M2000-5              2013,3  74,3
polesetter1          1977,7  32,7
ANF                  1934,0  68,0
Benchulo             1906,7  65,7
Good

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#2 LolaB0860

LolaB0860
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Posted 11 June 2024 - 13:38

Perez you being completely useless again is bad for the forecast

 

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