The standings after Spain:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Bleu 1004 101 = Brawn BGP 001 1004 101 = Costaz 1004 101 = DutchQuicksilver 1004 101 = GTA 1004 101 = KWSN-DSM 1004 101 = LB 1004 101 = mark f1 1004 101 = scheivlak 1004 101 = sladealonso 1004 101 = SpaceHorseParty 1004 101 12) ANF 1003 101 = Makarias 1003 101 14) LolaB8060 1001 101 15) M2000-5 1000 101 16) Anderis 998 101 17) Benchulo 991 97 18) polesetter1 985 101Lots of drama and erotic tension brewing under the surface here.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 600,0 18 Norr 70,3 48,3 0 Hülk 63,7 25,0 5 Pias 51,1 32,9 0 Sain 49,1 33,9 0 Lecl 49,1 39,2 0 Tsun 44,6 25,0 1 Pere 41,2 32,1 1 Russ 41,2 29,7 0 Vers 41,2 33,4 0 Stro 31,1 13,5 1 Hami 28,7 24,6 0 Alon 28,0 16,9 0 Magn 24,7 5,0 2 Gasl 14,4 7,6 0 Ocon 9,3 4,5 0 Albo 7,5 3,5 0 Ricc 6,9 3,7 0Only Perez lost Benchulo some points this round.
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Verstappen Norris Hamilton Russell Leclerc M2000-5 600 * Potential 496 * Potential 411 * Potential 429 * Potential 484 LolaB8060 590 * Forecast 350 polesetter1 247 polesetter1 265 Benchulo 341 * Potential 551 Costaz 301 ANF 243 ANF 244 Bleu 331 SpaceHorseParty 550 Brawn BGP 001 263 SpaceHorseParty 240 Anderis 213 * Forecast 322 Makarias 535 ANF 241 mark f1 230 Bleu 207 GTA 315 Anderis 525 LB 220 M2000-5 222 mark f1 200 ANF 292 DutchQuicksilver525 Makarias 211 Costaz 221 sladealonso 200 sladealonso 290 GTA 510 LolaB8060 210 Bleu 215 KWSN-DSM 190 scheivlak 289 LB 506 Benchulo 209 sladealonso 215 SpaceHorseParty 190 Brawn BGP 001 283 sladealonso 502 GTA 205 Anderis 213 * Forecast 190 LB 279 mark f1 494 DutchQuicksilver201 DutchQuicksilver212 Benchulo 183 Anderis 274 * Forecast 482 scheivlak 200 Makarias 210 DutchQuicksilver183 mark f1 270 scheivlak 466 Bleu 195 GTA 207 LB 182 Costaz 265 ANF 458 polesetter1 191 Benchulo 200 scheivlak 182 KWSN-DSM 250 Costaz 454 mark f1 190 Brawn BGP 001 200 M2000-5 180 DutchQuicksilver246 KWSN-DSM 450 SpaceHorseParty 190 KWSN-DSM 200 Makarias 179 Makarias 246 Brawn BGP 001 449 M2000-5 188 LolaB8060 188 LolaB8060 172 polesetter1 245 polesetter1 427 KWSN-DSM 185 LB 180 Brawn BGP 001 167 SpaceHorseParty 243 Bleu 415 Anderis 180 scheivlak 180 GTA 158 M2000-5 232 Benchulo 336 sladealonso 160 * Forecast 146 Costaz 156 LolaB8060 225 * Current 201 * Current 146 * Current 61 * Current 79 * Current 134Norris will be catching some guesses soon, so that will be super fun. Hamilton's forecast was below 100 points just a few races ago, so it's heading in the right direction.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Sainz Piastri Perez Gasly Ocon * Potential 458 * Potential 432 * Potential 449 * Potential 355 * Potential 353 polesetter1 318 Costaz 248 LolaB8060 307 mark f1 65 mark f1 65 Bleu 265 ANF 239 Costaz 300 scheivlak 52 KWSN-DSM 50 GTA 260 * Forecast 197 DutchQuicksilver280 KWSN-DSM 50 scheivlak 49 * Forecast 259 Brawn BGP 001 185 mark f1 280 LolaB8060 45 LolaB8060 46 Anderis 231 LB 174 KWSN-DSM 275 ANF 43 LB 39 Benchulo 229 scheivlak 174 sladealonso 275 LB 42 ANF 38 scheivlak 228 Benchulo 172 M2000-5 273 DutchQuicksilver 41 DutchQuicksilver 37 sladealonso 225 LolaB8060 170 Anderis 265 GTA 40 GTA 32 mark f1 220 polesetter1 163 Makarias 265 Bleu 38 Anderis 30 LB 218 SpaceHorseParty 160 Brawn BGP 001 254 Brawn BGP 001 33 Bleu 30 Brawn BGP 001 215 KWSN-DSM 150 SpaceHorseParty 250 Benchulo 29 Benchulo 29 LolaB8060 215 mark f1 150 scheivlak 245 sladealonso 28 M2000-5 29 Makarias 212 Bleu 148 * Forecast 238 M2000-5 27 Brawn BGP 001 26 DutchQuicksilver207 DutchQuicksilver138 LB 235 Anderis 25 Costaz 25 M2000-5 201 M2000-5 138 Bleu 218 Costaz 23 sladealonso 25 KWSN-DSM 200 Makarias 136 GTA 212 Makarias 21 Makarias 18 Costaz 191 GTA 131 polesetter1 200 polesetter1 15 SpaceHorseParty 8 SpaceHorseParty 190 Anderis 115 ANF 102 * Forecast 12 polesetter1 7 ANF 135 sladealonso 100 * Current 99 SpaceHorseParty 8 * Forecast 7 * Current 108 * Current 82 Benchulo 86 * Current 5 * Current 3ANF is within reach for Perez, and Piastri is not far from sladealonso's guess. Will Alpine's points form last?
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Brawn BGP 001 2160,8 -4,5 LB 2153,6 28,9 scheivlak 2139,8 8,5 GTA 2118,4 25,1 Bleu 2102,2 8,2 Costaz 2090,4 6,4 mark f1 2083,8 27,5 LolaB8060 2071,8 11,8 Makarias 2066,8 10,5 sladealonso 2051,6 16,3 Anderis 2050,4 20,4 DutchQuicksilver 2045,8 14,5 SpaceHorseParty 2042,8 20,1 KWSN-DSM 2031,0 6,7 M2000-5 2020,0 6,7 polesetter1 1994,0 16,3 ANF 1962,0 28,0 Benchulo 1908,6 1,9Very nice of Brawny to lose ground and make things exciting!
