The standings after Mexico:
Pos Name Tot Latest 1) Costaz 1918 55 2) Brawn BGP 001 1890 66 3) LB 1837 69 4) scheivlak 1819 71 5) ANF 1800 50 6) Bleu 1789 71 7) Benchulo 1782 71 8) mark f1 1780 71 9) GTA 1766 64 10) LolaB8060 1765 51 11) KWSN-DSM 1756 42 12) Makarias 1751 48 13) DutchQuicksilver 1740 43 14) SpaceHorseParty 1734 30 15) Anderis 1733 71 16) polesetter1 1730 56 17) M2000-5 1698 37 = sladealonso 1698 71Max score of 71 for quite a few, a distant cry from 101.
The entries
The Drivers' list
Driver Expect Surprise Beat % % # Bear INF,8 700,0 18 Cola INF,8 500,0 18 Hülk 446,0 175,0 18 Magn 295,9 60,0 17 Pias 148,8 96,0 16 Norr 142,5 98,0 17 Sain 100,0 69,0 10 Lecl 98,5 78,7 8 Russ 86,1 62,0 2 Hami 81,9 70,2 0 Vers 67,2 54,6 0 Pere 56,6 44,2 2 Tsun 52,0 29,2 2 Albo 45,3 21,1 2 Stro 43,9 19,0 1 Alon 42,8 25,7 1 Laws 40,9 4,3 15 Gasl 25,9 13,6 1 Ocon 15,4 7,6 0 Ricc 12,1 6,5 0Carlos Sainz lands exactly on his expectation value!
EXPLANATIONS:
Expect: Expectation fulfillment. The driver's current points score as a percentage of the average points placed on him (not rounded off to integer points)
Surprise: The driver's points score as a percentage of the maximum points placed on him plus one. When this number is reached, the driver has achieved a 100% surprise, by beating the highest expectations on him for this season.
Beat: How many players' expectations the driver has managed to beat. The maximum amount is the number of entrants for the season; for 2019 this is 23.
Guesses on P1-P5:
Sainz Norris Leclerc Hamilton Russell * Potential 320 * Potential 396 * Potential 369 * Potential 274 * Potential 265 polesetter1 318 * Forecast 355 Benchulo 341 polesetter1 247 polesetter1 265 Bleu 265 Costaz 301 Bleu 331 ANF 243 ANF 244 * Forecast 264 * Current 296 * Forecast 323 SpaceHorseParty 240 Anderis 213 GTA 260 Brawn BGP 001 263 GTA 315 mark f1 230 Bleu 207 Anderis 231 ANF 241 ANF 292 M2000-5 222 mark f1 200 Benchulo 229 LB 220 sladealonso 290 Costaz 221 sladealonso 200 scheivlak 228 Makarias 211 scheivlak 289 Bleu 215 * Forecast 198 sladealonso 225 LolaB8060 210 Brawn BGP 001 283 sladealonso 215 KWSN-DSM 190 mark f1 220 Benchulo 209 LB 279 Anderis 213 SpaceHorseParty 190 * Current 220 GTA 205 Anderis 274 DutchQuicksilver212 Benchulo 183 LB 218 DutchQuicksilver201 mark f1 270 Makarias 210 DutchQuicksilver183 Brawn BGP 001 215 scheivlak 200 * Current 269 * Forecast 209 LB 182 LolaB8060 215 Bleu 195 Costaz 265 GTA 207 scheivlak 182 Makarias 212 polesetter1 191 KWSN-DSM 250 Benchulo 200 M2000-5 180 DutchQuicksilver207 mark f1 190 DutchQuicksilver246 Brawn BGP 001 200 Makarias 179 M2000-5 201 SpaceHorseParty 190 Makarias 246 KWSN-DSM 200 LolaB8060 172 KWSN-DSM 200 M2000-5 188 polesetter1 245 LolaB8060 188 Brawn BGP 001 167 Costaz 191 KWSN-DSM 185 SpaceHorseParty 243 LB 180 * Current 165 SpaceHorseParty 190 Anderis 180 M2000-5 232 scheivlak 180 GTA 158 ANF 135 sladealonso 160 LolaB8060 225 * Current 174 Costaz 156Hamilton will beat some guesses soon, Russell started this week. Norris a 100% surprise soon.
Guesses on P6-P10:
Verstappen Magnussen Piastri Hülkenberg Gasly M2000-5 600 * Potential 112 * Potential 339 * Potential 128 * Potential 109 LolaB8060 590 KWSN-DSM 19 * Forecast 287 * Forecast 34 mark f1 65 SpaceHorseParty 550 * Forecast 14 Costaz 248 * Current 28 scheivlak 52 Makarias 535 * Current 12 ANF 239 KWSN-DSM 15 KWSN-DSM 50 Anderis 525 Anderis 6 * Current 239 Benchulo 13 LolaB8060 45 DutchQuicksilver525 LB 6 Brawn BGP 001 185 Brawn BGP 001 11 ANF 43 GTA 510 scheivlak 6 LB 174 Anderis 10 LB 42 LB 506 Benchulo 5 scheivlak 174 Bleu 10 DutchQuicksilver 41 sladealonso 502 Bleu 5 Benchulo 172 LB 8 GTA 40 mark f1 494 Brawn BGP 001 5 LolaB8060 170 scheivlak 8 Bleu 38 scheivlak 466 mark f1 5 polesetter1 163 sladealonso 6 Brawn BGP 001 33 ANF 458 SpaceHorseParty 5 SpaceHorseParty 160 DutchQuicksilver 5 Benchulo 29 Costaz 454 ANF 3 KWSN-DSM 150 GTA 5 sladealonso 28 KWSN-DSM 450 Costaz 2 mark f1 150 mark f1 5 M2000-5 27 Brawn BGP 001 449 LolaB8060 2 Bleu 148 SpaceHorseParty 5 Anderis 25 * Potential 428 DutchQuicksilver 1 DutchQuicksilver138 Costaz 4 Costaz 23 polesetter1 427 GTA 1 M2000-5 138 ANF 3 Makarias 21 Bleu 415 Makarias 1 Makarias 136 Makarias 3 polesetter1 15 * Forecast 394 sladealonso 1 GTA 131 LolaB8060 1 * Forecast 11 Benchulo 336 M2000-5 0 Anderis 115 M2000-5 1 * Current 9 * Current 328 polesetter1 0 sladealonso 100 polesetter1 0 SpaceHorseParty 8Verstappen will beat a guess soon, Gasly started this week. Piastri a 100% surprise soon.
The PTPC forecast
Name Forecast +/- Bleu 2075,2 -0,7 Costaz 2071,0 -16,4 Brawn BGP 001 2052,6 -26,2 GTA 2005,6 -10,7 LB 1990,6 -26,7 scheivlak 1990,6 -26,7 ANF 1979,8 -10,4 mark f1 1965,2 -19,0 polesetter1 1955,2 -0,4 Anderis 1933,2 -19,0 KWSN-DSM 1930,4 -20,0 Benchulo 1925,0 -5,7 Makarias 1920,4 -22,5 DutchQuicksilver 1913,4 -22,5 SpaceHorseParty 1912,6 -23,2 sladealonso 1912,4 -20,3 LolaB8060 1906,6 -26,7 M2000-5 1866,0 -21,8A new leader in the forecast!