Revised timeline for the CMore video clips (Sochi times):
14:43
https://streamable.com/1p8vyp
-The investigation into Hamilton's practice starts was broadcasted on television at 14:42, and CMore immediately announce that according to their "information from Sochi", Hamilton is about to get a penalty. They speculate that the penalty could range from 5 seconds to a drive-through. There is no mention of there being 2 separate infractions by Hamilton. What's curious about this first clip is how the presenter Mervi Kallio reacts to the announcement of Hamilton's investigation. What she says there is "Ossi, there we got some fresh information about Hamilton's situation". What situation? You cannot tell for sure, but to me it sounds like they could have already been aware about Hamilton's investigation before this moment. After the official announcement, they can now talk about it.
14:52
*no video clip*
-It is mentioned on CMore that according to "information from Russia", the latest "educated guess" is that Hamilton might get away with a monetary sanction, and no penalty will be given for the race. There is still no mention of there being 2 separate infractions by Hamilton, and the situation is not mentioned or speculated on until the next clip at 15:08.
15:08
https://streamable.com/m8k0aw
-As the cars are readying for the formation lap, a graphic is again shown that says Hamilton is under investigation. This most likely prompts Juusela into saying that CMore has obtained information about Hamilton getting a 2 x 5 second penalty, and that his penalty points will be filled. He claims that an official confirmation will be coming "shortly", but it won't come until 20 minutes later on lap 7, after the first SC period is over. Neither Juusela or Oikarinen seem to question why there are two penalties. They only ever mention one practice start, and seem to assume that both penalties come from the same incident, or at least they don't speculate on the reasoning of the double penalty. In fact possible penalties are not talked about at all after Oikarinen's initial predictions at 14:43. No specific rules or previous cases have been mentioned.
15:24
https://streamable.com/g1181u
-During the SC period, after the initial replays are done, Juusela returns to the topic of Hamilton's penalty and says they are still waiting for the "official confirmation", but they are still "assuming" that a 2 x 5 second penalty is coming, with penalty points possibly causing a race ban for Nürburging. Again, there is still no mention of there being 2 separate infractions by Hamilton, yet they are expecting a 2 x 5 second penalty.
15:30
https://streamable.com/1dbf02
-As the penalty is announced, Juusela is clearly expecting the 2 x 5 second penalty, and is initially confused when only the first 5 second penalty is announced. He is possibly heard clicking the FIA website on his computer as he seeks confirmation for the second penalty, which is then given. This is also the first time they mention there being two infractions.
15:32 and 16:17
https://streamable.com/iybf1k
-A few minutes later, for some reason Juusela claims that the stewards are confirming the 4 penalty points, and he seems convinced that Hamilton is going to get banned from the next race, as if the "source" just confirmed it. He then happens to mention how Mika Salo is a steward for the weekend. From this point on until lap 36, they are convinced about Hamilton getting the race ban. Then at 16:17 on lap 36, Juusela seemingly gets the official announcement of Hamilton getting 1+1 penalty points. I assume this is around the moment the penalty points were officially released? After that, Juusela mentions how they have been getting their information from "quite close to the stewards" during the course of the race, and this information is now getting confirmed.
That is all I can provide. To me, this is an obvious case of stewarding decisions being leaked in advance. Juusela denies that his source is Salo, but at the same time he admits there is a "source", which is obvious based on their broadcast and multiple mentions of "information from Sochi/Russia". With the covid protocols, the paddock is currently awfully sparse, so not that many sources can be speculated on. We know that CMore has no people on the paddock, so it must be someone from outside the production. A closeness to the stewarding decisions is heavily implied.
Edited by Topsu, 30 September 2020 - 01:25.